---
title: "UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New): case drops, odds & site prices"
description: "UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 861 drops on 14 sites in 7 days, worth $182 to $885. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T05:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new)

# UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New)

weapon, classified · UMP-45 · Fade · Factory New. Market name: UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 861 · on 14 sites

Average value · $245 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $182

Highest · $885

In cases · 26 · with published odds

Price spread · 381% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 452 | $187 | $184 | $196 | 5h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 144 | $244 | $229 | $248 | 2d |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 139 | $287 | $188 | $385 | 5h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 36 | $521 | $370 | $606 | 5h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 29 | $385 | $385 | $385 | 1d |
| [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | 14 | $345 | $345 | $345 | 5h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 14 | $233 | $226 | $251 | 1d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 10 | $556 | $556 | $556 | 1d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 8 | $217 | $211 | $222 | 3d |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 5 | $372 | $372 | $372 | 2d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 3 | $187 | $187 | $187 | 5d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 3 | $885 | $885 | $885 | 4d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 2 | $191 | $182 | $200 | 1d |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 2 | $184 | $184 | $184 | 4d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Faded](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/faded) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $105 | 15.0% | $188 | 1.8× |
| [Bulletproof](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/bulletproof) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $116 | 1 in 17 | $385 | 3.3× |
| [HEXFIRE JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hexfire-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $893 | 1 in 17 | $240 | 0.3× |
| [Zezima](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/zezima) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $1,182 | 1 in 20 | $385 | 0.3× |
| [Sleigh Ride](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/sleigh-ride) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $611 | 1 in 20 | $385 | 0.6× |
| [Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fade) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $565 | 1 in 25 | $187 | 0.3× |
| [SMG Abuser](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/smg-abuser) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $62.80 | 1 in 33 | $239 | 3.8× |
| [Romix Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/romix-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $99.01 | 1 in 67 | $385 | 3.9× |
| [Field Tested](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/field-tested) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $736 | 1 in 81 | $209 | 0.3× |
| [Imogen](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/imogen) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $130 | 1 in 87 | $209 | 1.6× |
| [Low Fade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/low-fade) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $44.27 | 1 in 100 | $249 | 5.6× |
| [Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $34.55 | 1 in 143 | $345 | 10.0× |
| [Well Worn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $379 | 1 in 182 | $209 | 0.5× |
| [Fade Battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $24.36 | 1 in 227 | $188 | 7.7× |
| [Amar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/610952) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 235 | $200 | 4.0× |
| [Gradientcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gradientcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.37 | 1 in 265 | $187 | 7.7× |
| [Dawn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dawn) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $32.25 | 1 in 286 | $172 | 5.3× |
| [High Beam](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/high-beam) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $32.40 | 1 in 333 | $385 | 11.9× |
| [HEXFIRE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/hexfire) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $36.00 | 1 in 435 | $239 | 6.7× |
| [Factory new](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $1,416 | 1 in 459 | $209 | 0.1× |
| [Golden Hunter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/168) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $165 | 1 in 500 | $556 | 3.4× |
| [Dust 2021](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/dust2021) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $15.99 | 1 in 1,767 | $187 | 11.7× |
| [Funk](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/funk) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $32.12 | 1 in 2,000 | $172 | 5.3× |
| [UMP-45](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/337) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.00 | 1 in 33,333 | $226 | 226.2× |
| [Засекреченное](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/classified) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $6.79 | 1 in 96,351 | $165 | 24.3× |
| [2021 Dust 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/2021dust2) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $2.69 | 1 in 118,657 | $165 | 61.3× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [MVP $16.52](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/150) battle [Leon der Slalomdribbler](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Leon%20der%20Slalomdribbler) $16.52 16.52 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $885 885 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 53.57x 2026-11-08 11:49 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Full House $7.88](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/628618) battle [z0Nk \[SRIOU\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/z0Nk%20%5BSRIOU%5D) $7.88 7.88 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $885 885 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 112.3x 2026-11-07 10:01 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [789 $91.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/87517) battle [Stimulatedx](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Stimulatedx) $91.55 91.55 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $885 885 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 9.67x 2026-11-06 18:04 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-11 15:55 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-10 22:59 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-10 20:29 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-10 19:19 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-08 15:54 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Sleepy $12.94](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sleepy) battle Hidden $12.94 18.48 coins $606 866 coins 46.86x 2026-11-08 15:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Man $34.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ddb9964f3b3ba711fa3e58ad682826e0) battle [tautvydassap](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/tautvydassap) $34.55 56.25 coins $345 562 coins 10.00x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) battle Hidden $24.22 $188 7.77x 2026-11-12 04:05 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) battle Hidden $24.36 $188 7.71x 2026-11-12 02:40 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) battle [Sunbringer](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Sunbringer) $24.36 $188 7.71x 2026-11-12 02:31 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) battle Hidden $24.36 $188 7.71x 2026-11-12 02:23 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [The Subs $21.78](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-subs) battle Hidden $21.78 31.11 coins $488 698 coins 22.42x 2026-11-12 01:41 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Fade Battle $24.36](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/fade-battle) battle Hidden $24.23 $188 7.75x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Faded $105](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/faded) battle [Ramen Noodles](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Ramen%20Noodles) $105 161 gems $188 290 gems 1.80x 2026-11-12 00:56 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [Faded $105](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/faded) battle Hidden $105 161 gems $188 290 gems 1.80x 2026-11-12 00:54 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) [SMG Abuser $62.80](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/smg-abuser) battle [NI𝕏A ˙ᵕ˙](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/NI%F0%9D%95%8FA%20%CB%99%E1%B5%95%CB%99) $62.80 96.62 gems $239 368 gems 3.81x 2026-11-12 00:35 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt