--- title: "UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 386 drops on 7 sites in 7 days, worth $45.22 to $125. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-11T22:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) # UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon, industrial · UMP-45 · Fallout Warning · Factory New. Market name: UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 386 · on 7 sites Average value · $49.56 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $45.22 Highest · $125 In cases · 7 · with published odds Price spread · 166% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 326 | $47.08 | $45.22 | $54.54 | 22h | | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 16 | $56.27 | $56.27 | $56.27 | 4d | | [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 16 | $57.40 | $57.40 | $57.40 | 22h | | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 14 | $63.90 | $62.37 | $64.56 | 1d | | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 9 | $56.49 | $56.49 | $56.49 | 6d | | [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 4 | $125 | $125 | $125 | 2d | | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $58.42 | $58.42 | $58.42 | 6d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Experiment](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $221 | 32.0% | $45.22 | 0.2× | | [Industrial Hazard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $49.33 | 10.0% | $54.54 | 1.1× | | [Close Combat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/close-combat) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $51.91 | 1 in 20 | $55.83 | 1.1× | | [Nuclear War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nuclear-war) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $37.50 | 1 in 20 | $45.30 | 1.2× | | [Nuke](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nuke) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $30.99 | 1 in 30 | $66.36 | 2.1× | | [Save](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.64 | 1 in 100 | $47.83 | 13.1× | | [Oktoberfest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/oktoberfest) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $20.51 | 1 in 138 | $66.36 | 3.2× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new&window=all) [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle [casluwitte](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/casluwitte) $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle [Anonymous784460](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Anonymous784460) $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 22:09 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Industrial Hazard $49.33](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) battle Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $54.54 83.91 gems 1.11x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Industrial Hazard $49.33](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/industrial-hazard) battle Hidden $49.33 75.89 gems $54.54 83.91 gems 1.11x 2026-11-11 20:17 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Experiment $221](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) battle Hidden $221 340 gems $45.22 69.57 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:54 UTC [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Heater $6.16](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/heater) battle Hidden $6.16 8.8 coins $57.40 82 coins 9.32x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 16:41 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Save $3.64](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/save) battle Hidden $3.64 5.6 gems $47.83 73.58 gems 13.14x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC industrial · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. 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