---
title: "UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear): case drops & odds"
description: "UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) across CS2 case sites: 276 drops on 5 sites in 7 days, worth $17.28 to $34.05. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear
rendered: 2026-11-12T00:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear)

# UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear)

weapon, industrial · UMP-45 · Fallout Warning · Minimal Wear. Market name: UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 276 · on 5 sites

Average value · $27.10 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $17.28

Highest · $34.05

In cases · 6 · with published odds

Price spread · 97% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 170 | $27.68 | $26.87 | $27.98 | 45m |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 37 | $34.05 | $34.05 | $34.05 | 1d |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 32 | $17.28 | $17.28 | $17.28 | 1d |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 32 | $25.68 | $25.06 | $26.95 | 1d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 5 | $28.26 | $26.88 | $28.60 | 6d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Mercenary](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mercenary) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $85.83 | 18.0% | $26.87 | 0.3× |
| [Ashen Crown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ashen-crown) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $43.11 | 10.0% | $17.28 | 0.4× |
| [Nuke](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nuke) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $30.99 | 1 in 14 | $26.88 | 0.9× |
| [Infectious](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/infectious) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $8.99 | 1 in 29 | $26.87 | 3.0× |
| [Cushion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $18.46 | 1 in 29 | $26.87 | 1.5× |
| [Ump](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ump) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.66 | 1 in 55,556 | $26.88 | 40.7× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

**No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear&window=all)

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Infectious $8.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/infectious) battle Hidden $8.99 12.84 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 2.99x 2026-11-12 00:36 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Cushion $18.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) battle Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 21:43 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Nuke $10.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nuke) battle Hidden $10.26 $25.51 2.49x 2026-11-11 21:03 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Mercenary $85.83](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/mercenary) battle Hidden $85.83 123 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 0.31x 2026-11-11 21:02 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Nuke $10.35](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/nuke) battle Hidden $10.24 $25.50 2.49x 2026-11-11 20:26 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Cushion $18.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) battle [Jarza](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jarza) $18.46 26.37 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Cushion $18.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) battle [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $18.46 26.37 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Cushion $18.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) battle [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $18.46 26.37 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Cushion $18.46](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/cushion) battle Hidden $18.46 26.37 coins $26.87 38.38 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fallout-warning-minimal-wear) [Ashen Crown $43.11](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/ashen-crown) battle Hidden $43.11 66.32 gems $17.28 26.58 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:04 UTC

industrial · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
