---
title: "UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 4,305 drops on 16 sites in 7 days, worth $5.08 to $38.07. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new)

# UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New)

weapon, classified · UMP-45 · Primal Saber · Factory New. Market name: UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 4,305 · on 16 sites

Average value · $12.40 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $5.08

Highest · $38.07

In cases · 35 · with published odds

Price spread · 606% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 954 | $19.64 | $19.61 | $19.65 | 8h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 845 | $5.76 | $5.77 | $5.77 | 8h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 794 | $5.23 | $5.08 | $5.78 | 8h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 529 | $7.94 | $7.71 | $9.23 | 8h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 389 | $15.48 | $15.16 | $23.12 | 8h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 292 | $18.42 | $18.42 | $18.42 | 8h |
| [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | 263 | $18.72 | $16.80 | $21.57 | 8h |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 89 | $12.96 | $12.96 | $12.96 | 2d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 75 | $35.85 | $34.91 | $38.07 | 8h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 39 | $14.61 | $14.33 | $14.79 | 8h |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csbattle) | 16 | $6.84 | $6.84 | $6.84 | 2d |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 13 | $32.71 | $27.92 | $33.11 | 8h |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 4 | $20.33 | $20.17 | $20.38 | 2d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $16.23 | $16.23 | $16.23 | 6d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 1 | $36.90 | $36.90 | $36.90 | 2d |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | 1 | $17.41 | $17.41 | $17.41 | 9d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Animals](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/animals) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $29.58 | 20.0% | $5.08 | 0.2× |
| [Lucid Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/lucid-dream) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $2.66 | 12.0% | $5.77 | 2.2× |
| [Thief](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/thief) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $177 | 10.0% | $5.78 | 0.0× |
| [COUNTRY SITE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/country-site) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $50.00 | 1 in 19 | $19.61 | 0.4× |
| [Junkyard](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/junkyard) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $17.27 | 1 in 20 | $14.33 | 0.8× |
| [MuscleStrike Tiger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/129) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $49.00 | 1 in 29 | $18.42 | 0.4× |
| [Cursed Nomad](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1521195) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $12.00 | 1 in 33 | $17.85 | 1.5× |
| [Gridiron Grandstand](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/200) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $25.00 | 1 in 33 | $8.05 | 0.3× |
| [Botai](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/345) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $13.99 | 1 in 33 | $34.91 | 2.5× |
| [Windmill](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/387) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $61.70 | 1 in 40 | $20.14 | 0.3× |
| [Party Mix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/51) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.30 | 1 in 49 | $16.80 | 1.6× |
| [Fresh](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/fresh) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $6.58 | 1 in 71 | $16.23 | 2.5× |
| [Hydrotus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/138) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $50.00 | 1 in 75 | $19.28 | 0.4× |
| [Chroma 3 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/chroma-3-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.90 | 1 in 94 | $5.77 | 3.0× |
| [Juicer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/juicer) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $0.86 | 1 in 100 | $5.77 | 6.7× |
| [BANK HEIST JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bank-heist-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $341 | 1 in 116 | $19.87 | 0.1× |
| [Tokyo Voyage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $10.00 | 1 in 126 | $25.23 | 2.5× |
| [BANK HEIST](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/bank-heist) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $11.00 | 1 in 153 | $19.87 | 1.8× |
| [CHROMA 3 CASE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/236) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $3.97 | 1 in 200 | $36.90 | 9.3× |
| [Fast Attack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/391) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $3.00 | 1 in 292 | $16.89 | 5.6× |
| [Chroma 3 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $3.62 | 1 in 364 | $17.33 | 4.8× |
| [Chroma 3](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/chroma3) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $1.99 | 1 in 435 | $16.23 | 8.2× |
| [MAGIC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/magic) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $4.00 | 1 in 648 | $16.73 | 4.2× |
| [Never Again](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/never-again) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 676 | $20.92 | 2.6× |
| [Brutal Set](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635168) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.80 | 1 in 719 | $31.40 | 17.4× |
| [Smak](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/smak) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $6.50 | 1 in 935 | $20.92 | 3.2× |
| [Hyper Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/hyper-beast) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $8.00 | 1 in 1,000 | $20.92 | 2.6× |
| [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/257) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $16.92 | 1 in 1,000 | $38.07 | 2.3× |
| [Boltz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635291) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.00 | 1 in 1,562 | $21.57 | 21.6× |
| [CLASSIFIED](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/classified) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $2.99 | 1 in 1,879 | $16.73 | 5.6× |
| [UMP-45](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/337) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $1.00 | 1 in 2,632 | $18.28 | 18.3× |
| [Clucking](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/clucking) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $2.00 | 1 in 4,762 | $20.92 | 10.5× |
| [Yes.](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/yes) | [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | $3.12 | 1 in 5,000 | $17.33 | 5.6× |
| [Faze team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/faze-team) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.92 | 1 in 6,536 | $16.23 | 17.6× |
| [Ump](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ump) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.66 | 1 in 12,195 | $16.23 | 24.6× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

**No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new&window=all)

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [COUNTRY SITE $50.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/country-site) battle [NOTME](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/NOTME) $50.00 $19.61 0.39x 2026-11-12 08:07 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [COUNTRY SITE $50.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/country-site) battle Hidden $50.00 $19.61 0.39x 2026-11-12 07:58 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [MuscleStrike Tiger $49.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/129) battle [hotdog](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/hotdog) $49.00 49 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $18.42 18.42 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.38x 2026-11-12 07:56 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Animals $29.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/animals) battle Hidden $29.58 45.5 gems $5.08 7.81 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 07:54 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [COUNTRY SITE $50.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/country-site) battle Hidden $50.00 $19.61 0.39x 2026-11-12 07:53 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Animals $29.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/animals) battle Hidden $29.58 45.5 gems $5.08 7.81 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 07:52 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Animals $29.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/animals) battle [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $29.58 45.5 gems $5.08 7.81 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 07:52 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Animals $29.58](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/animals) battle Hidden $29.58 45.5 gems $5.08 7.81 gems 0.17x 2026-11-12 07:52 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Prehistoric $6.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prehistoric) battle [ktlegacy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/ktlegacy) $6.26 8.94 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 1.23x 2026-11-12 07:44 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) [Prehistoric $6.26](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/prehistoric) battle Hidden $6.26 8.94 coins $7.71 11.01 coins 1.23x 2026-11-12 07:44 UTC

classified · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt