---
title: "★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 630 drops on 16 sites in 7 days, worth $168 to $995. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:16Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new)

# ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New)

knife, rare · Ursus Knife · Fade · Factory New. Market name: ★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 630 · on 16 sites

Average value · $245 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $168

Highest · $995

In cases · 36 · with published odds

Price spread · 477% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 406 | $248 | $241 | $255 | 10h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 45 | $249 | $245 | $257 | 1d |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 42 | $205 | $205 | $205 | 10h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 41 | $189 | $183 | $196 | 1d |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 26 | $188 | $186 | $192 | 10h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 16 | $172 | $168 | $175 | 1d |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 13 | $178 | $168 | $192 | 10h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 10 | $503 | $503 | $503 | 10h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 9 | $318 | $318 | $318 | 10h |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 8 | $187 | $181 | $198 | 5d |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 6 | $471 | $471 | $471 | 3d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 2 | $294 | $294 | $294 | 2d |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 2 | $385 | $385 | $385 | 4d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 2 | $995 | $995 | $995 | 3d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $198 | $198 | $198 | 8d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $250 | $250 | $250 | 9d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [ELAINE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/elaine) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $200 | 21.3% | $241 | 1.2× |
| [Reaper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1044) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $250 | 1 in 17 | $417 | 1.7× |
| [DMG JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $548 | 1 in 19 | $246 | 0.4× |
| [Knives Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knives-only) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $174 | 1 in 20 | $168 | 1.0× |
| [TAXI JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/taxi-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $123 | 1 in 21 | $246 | 2.0× |
| [Sakura](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/472) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $907 | 1 in 25 | $435 | 0.5× |
| [BLOODSHOT](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodshot) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $316 | 1 in 27 | $241 | 0.8× |
| [ROAD-TO-LORE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/road-to-lore) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $400 | 1 in 40 | $199 | 0.5× |
| [CS2 knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs2knife) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $339 | 1 in 64 | $176 | 0.5× |
| [Crystal Ball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/crystal-ball) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $119 | 1 in 67 | $168 | 1.4× |
| [Hypothermia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/hypothermia) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $183 | 1 in 100 | $168 | 0.9× |
| [DMG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/dmg) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $50.00 | 1 in 185 | $246 | 4.9× |
| [Amethyst](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/amethyst) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $42.59 | 1 in 200 | $168 | 3.9× |
| [Cayenne Madness](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/141) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $44.00 | 1 in 200 | $205 | 4.7× |
| [Trackmaster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1004) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $32.50 | 1 in 200 | $548 | 16.9× |
| [Нож](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rare) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $219 | 1 in 227 | $176 | 0.8× |
| [Gradientcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/gradientcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.37 | 1 in 278 | $198 | 8.1× |
| [Shiny Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $250 | 1 in 305 | $245 | 1.0× |
| [Dance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/dance) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $38.93 | 1 in 333 | $168 | 4.3× |
| [New Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/newknives) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $175 | 1 in 446 | $245 | 1.4× |
| [Mouz](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/524) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $46.77 | 1 in 667 | $200 | 4.3× |
| [Skeleton Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $5.30 | 1 in 1,000 | $503 | 95.1× |
| [KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/256) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $195 | 1 in 1,000 | $320 | 1.6× |
| [Muffin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1021) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $16.90 | 1 in 1,000 | $466 | 27.6× |
| [Stacked](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/1012) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $11.90 | 1 in 1,000 | $532 | 44.7× |
| [Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $70.09 | 1 in 1,429 | $183 | 2.6× |
| [VISION](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/vision) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $24.69 | 1 in 1,667 | $241 | 9.8× |
| [Venom Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $50.00 | 1 in 2,500 | $360 | 7.2× |
| [farmskins case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 3,333 | $385 | 19.2× |
| [TAXI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/taxi) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $6.50 | 1 in 3,846 | $246 | 37.8× |
| [Ocean Wave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328) | [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) | $4.00 | 1 in 6,667 | $277 | 69.3× |
| [Assault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/assault) | [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) | $26.58 | 1 in 11,111 | $726 | 27.3× |
| [Trace](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/trace) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $8.94 | 1 in 20,000 | $503 | 56.3× |
| [Horizon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/horizon-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $2.31 | 1 in 20,000 | $318 | 137.8× |
| [Danger Zone Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/danger-zone-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.82 | 1 in 20,000 | $318 | 174.7× |
| [Dangerzone](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/dangerzone) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $2.99 | 1 in 1,000,000 | $198 | 66.4× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Opaline $152](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/104116) battle [Tomáš Sidorják](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Tom%C3%A1%C5%A1%20Sidorj%C3%A1k) $152 152 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $995 995 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 6.54x 2026-11-09 15:11 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [ValckzReversePsychology $37.61](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/268093) battle [EliteAGT](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/EliteAGT) $37.61 37.61 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $995 995 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 26.45x 2026-11-08 19:16 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-12 10:04 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [5% Stabbed $5.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/5-stabbed) battle Hidden $5.00 10 coins $503 1,007 coins 100.7x 2026-11-11 17:44 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-11 16:06 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-09 12:37 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-06 08:03 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [1% 5k top item $5.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/1-5k-top-item) battle Hidden $5.00 10 coins $503 1,007 coins 100.7x 2026-11-06 00:00 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-03 05:34 UTC

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-03 05:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ursus-knife-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Skeleton Knife $5.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skeleton-knife) battle Hidden $5.30 10.59 coins $503 1,007 coins 95.06x 2026-11-12 10:03 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Cayenne Madness $44.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/141) battle [ANIGMA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/ANIGMA) $44.00 44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $205 205 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.65x 2026-11-12 09:12 UTC

[FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Luxury Knife $210](https://gambatracker.com/cases/farmskins/classic-luxury-knife) [mon dieu](https://gambatracker.com/players/farmskins/mon%20dieu) $210 $186 0.89x 2026-11-12 08:37 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Cayenne Madness $44.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/141) battle [456](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/456) $44.00 44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $205 205 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.65x 2026-11-12 07:46 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [BLOODSHOT $316](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodshot) [Alucard4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Alucard4) $316 $243 0.77x 2026-11-12 06:40 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [BLOODSHOT $316](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodshot) [Alucard4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Alucard4) $316 $243 0.77x 2026-11-12 06:39 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [BLOODSHOT $316](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodshot) battle [Alucard4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Alucard4) $316 $243 0.77x 2026-11-12 06:39 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [BLOODSHOT $316](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/bloodshot) battle [Alucard4](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/Alucard4) $316 $243 0.77x 2026-11-12 06:39 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [ELAINE $200](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/elaine) [KID CUDI](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/KID%20CUDI) $200 $243 1.21x 2026-11-12 04:48 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) [Cayenne Madness $44.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/141) battle [KoTyara](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/KoTyara) $44.00 44 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $205 205 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 4.65x 2026-11-12 03:11 UTC

rare · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt