---
title: "★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,417 drops on 17 sites in 7 days, worth $104 to $638. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new)

# ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)

knife, rare · Ursus Knife · Marble Fade · Factory New. Market name: ★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 1,417 · on 17 sites

Average value · $177 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $104

Highest · $638

In cases · 43 · with published odds

Price spread · 398% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | 516 | $190 | $184 | $194 | 15h |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 341 | $160 | $160 | $160 | 15h |
| [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | 175 | $152 | $149 | $156 | 15h |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | 128 | $145 | $141 | $148 | 15h |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | 108 | $194 | $187 | $197 | 15h |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) | 44 | $333 | $333 | $333 | 15h |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 31 | $176 | $160 | $277 | 15h |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 25 | $128 | $104 | $205 | 15h |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | 14 | $152 | $151 | $153 | 15h |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 13 | $156 | $152 | $162 | 15h |
| [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 7 | $141 | $139 | $144 | 1d |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 6 | $149 | $148 | $150 | 3d |
| [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 3 | $253 | $253 | $253 | 2d |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | 2 | $238 | $238 | $238 | 3d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 2 | $638 | $638 | $638 | 5d |
| [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | 1 | $164 | $164 | $164 | 1d |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $190 | $190 | $190 | 10d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Knives Only](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/knives-only) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $174 | 20.0% | $139 | 0.8× |
| [LOTUS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lotus) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $99.00 | 1 in 11 | $191 | 1.9× |
| [LORE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lore) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $395 | 1 in 16 | $191 | 0.5× |
| [Gordon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $250 | 1 in 17 | $160 | 0.6× |
| [WORKSHOP JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $45.18 | 1 in 20 | $193 | 4.3× |
| [Marblefade](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/marblefade) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $220 | 1 in 21 | $162 | 0.7× |
| [NIGHT CALLS](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/night-calls) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $238 | 1 in 26 | $191 | 0.8× |
| [DUEL JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/duel-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $118 | 1 in 27 | $193 | 1.6× |
| [Nozhcase](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nozhcase) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $196 | 1 in 28 | $162 | 0.8× |
| [FIRE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/fire) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $101 | 1 in 31 | $191 | 1.9× |
| [Ursus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/ursus) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $105 | 1 in 31 | $162 | 1.5× |
| [Kawaii Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/436) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $173 | 1 in 50 | $160 | 0.9× |
| [CS2 knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/cs2knife) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $339 | 1 in 64 | $144 | 0.4× |
| [GREENI JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/greeni-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $94.99 | 1 in 83 | $193 | 2.0× |
| [GUARD JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard-joker) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $87.33 | 1 in 91 | $193 | 2.2× |
| [VENOM](https://gambatracker.com/cases/dropskin/venom) | [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | $31.28 | 1 in 100 | $162 | 5.2× |
| [Shiny Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/shinyknives) | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | $250 | 1 in 125 | $198 | 0.8× |
| [Нож](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/rare) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $219 | 1 in 190 | $144 | 0.7× |
| [Lucia](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/lucia) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.99 | 1 in 433 | $162 | 6.5× |
| [Evaelfie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/evaelfie) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $22.37 | 1 in 444 | $162 | 7.2× |
| [Skill Issue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/skill-issue) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $11.70 | 1 in 500 | $104 | 8.9× |
| [Obsidian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/obsidian) | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | $23.97 | 1 in 500 | $139 | 5.8× |
| [Bear c](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bear-c) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $29.99 | 1 in 629 | $162 | 5.4× |
| [Bloody Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/465) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 667 | $277 | 13.8× |
| [Luxury knife mining](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgo-net/luxuryknifemining) | [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | $1.79 | 1 in 737 | $144 | 80.7× |
| [Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/knife) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $70.09 | 1 in 833 | $149 | 2.1× |
| [EDGE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/edge) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $37.50 | 1 in 1,000 | $191 | 5.1× |
| [KNIVES](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/256) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $195 | 1 in 1,000 | $248 | 1.3× |
| [Snugtoes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/351) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $11.41 | 1 in 1,000 | $252 | 22.0× |
| [Toxic Origin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/413) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $97.32 | 1 in 1,000 | $264 | 2.7× |
| [Venom Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/480) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $50.00 | 1 in 1,818 | $287 | 5.7× |
| [farmskins case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/485) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $20.00 | 1 in 2,500 | $297 | 14.9× |
| [WORKSHOP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $2.75 | 1 in 5,000 | $193 | 70.2× |
| [AQUA](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/aqua-2) | [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | $6.00 | 1 in 5,000 | $191 | 31.9× |
| [DUEL](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/duel) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $4.75 | 1 in 5,556 | $193 | 40.7× |
| [Mystic Hundred](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/mystic-hundred) | [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) | $4.92 | 1 in 10,000 | $149 | 30.3× |
| [Prisma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-2-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.70 | 1 in 10,000 | $205 | 120.5× |
| [Prisma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $1.77 | 1 in 10,000 | $205 | 116.1× |
| [Prisma 2 Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/468) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $3.93 | 1 in 10,000 | $253 | 64.4× |
| [Faded](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgobig/308) | [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | $0.94 | 1 in 10,000 | $365 | 388.3× |
| [Vicecity](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/vicecity) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $9.99 | 1 in 12,048 | $162 | 16.2× |
| [GUARD](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/guard) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $8.50 | 1 in 16,667 | $193 | 22.7× |
| [GREENI](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/greeni) | [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | $9.00 | 1 in 16,667 | $193 | 21.5× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [2.4% daryLD WC dream $50.09](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/353530) battle [DrClampz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/DrClampz) $50.09 50.09 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $638 638 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 12.73x 2026-11-07 10:57 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Reversed Banger $6.97](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/488471) battle [jacob](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/jacob) $6.97 6.97 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $638 638 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 91.50x 2026-11-04 10:15 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Prisma Case $1.77](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/prisma-case) battle Hidden $1.77 2.72 gems $205 316 gems 116.1x 2026-11-08 16:45 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [WORKSHOP $2.75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop) battle [nexujanek](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/nexujanek) $2.75 $196 71.23x 2026-11-07 19:48 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [WORKSHOP $2.75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop) battle Hidden $2.75 $190 69.13x 2026-11-05 03:32 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [WORKSHOP $2.75](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop) battle Hidden $2.75 $187 68.03x 2026-11-05 17:59 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [knife farm $3.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-484c05703) battle Hidden $2.99 $153 51.05x 2026-11-04 06:58 UTC

[CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Bear c $29.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bear-c) [Оранжевый градиент](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%9E%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B6%D0%B5%D0%B2%D1%8B%D0%B9%20%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%B4%D0%B8%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82) $0.99 $152 153.3x 2026-11-05 21:30 UTC

[CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Bear c $29.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bear-c) [karabtw](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/karabtw) $0.99 $152 153.3x 2026-11-05 19:04 UTC

[CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Bear c $29.99](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/bear-c) [кавун](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%BA%D0%B0%D0%B2%D1%83%D0%BD) $0.99 $152 153.3x 2026-11-05 19:02 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new&window=all)

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gordon $250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) [DOVERッ](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/DOVER%E3%83%83) $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.64x 2026-11-12 14:23 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [LOTUS $99.00](https://gambatracker.com/cases/keydrop/lotus) battle Hidden $99.00 $191 1.93x 2026-11-12 14:16 UTC

[Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Snatchers $67.96](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/snatchers) battle Hidden $67.96 97.08 coins $333 476 coins 4.90x 2026-11-12 13:43 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gordon $250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) battle [Ananastronomi ♔](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Ananastronomi%20%E2%99%94) $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.64x 2026-11-12 13:39 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gordon $250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) battle [Breslau](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Breslau) $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.64x 2026-11-12 13:39 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gordon $250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) [Fullchord](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Fullchord) $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.64x 2026-11-12 13:33 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [Gordon $250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/89) battle [♛ LcK\_ ♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E2%99%9B%20LcK_%20%E2%99%9B) $250 250 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $160 160 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.64x 2026-11-12 12:52 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [ggggg $8.73](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9b6b68694) battle [世尊地藏](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%E4%B8%96%E5%B0%8A%E5%9C%B0%E8%97%8F) $3.12 $149 47.71x 2026-11-12 12:21 UTC

[Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [ggggg $8.73](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-9b6b68694) battle Hidden $3.12 $149 47.71x 2026-11-12 11:58 UTC

[Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) [★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) [WORKSHOP JOKER $45.18](https://gambatracker.com/cases/casehug/workshop-joker) battle [Im just a gamer :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/casehug/Im%20just%20a%20gamer%20%3A3) $45.18 $193 4.27x 2026-11-12 11:39 UTC

rare · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt