---
title: "XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New): case drops & odds"
description: "XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 213 drops on 4 sites in 7 days, worth $27.41 to $251. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-12T01:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new)

# XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

weapon · XM1014 · Fallout Warning · Factory New. Market name: XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price.

Drops, 7d · 213 · on 4 sites

Average value · $52.45 · site prices, drop-weighted

Lowest · $27.41

Highest · $251

In cases · 6 · with published odds

Price spread · 405% · highest vs lowest site average

## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it

| Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 197 | $49.73 | $27.41 | $72.24 | 1h |
| [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 13 | $61.38 | $61.38 | $61.38 | 3d |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) | 2 | $251 | $251 | $251 | 5d |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 1 | $74.64 | $74.64 | $74.64 | 7d |

A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices.

## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes

| Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Experiment](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $221 | 16.0% | $72.24 | 0.3× |
| [Nuclear War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nuclear-war) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $37.50 | 1 in 20 | $27.41 | 0.7× |
| [Nuke](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/nuke) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $30.99 | 1 in 47 | $72.27 | 2.3× |
| [Mine Field](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $6.42 | 1 in 50 | $34.24 | 5.3× |
| [Warpath](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/warpath) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $5.33 | 1 in 83 | $61.38 | 11.5× |
| [Xm 1014](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/xm1014) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $0.69 | 1 in 333,333 | $72.27 | 104.7× |

## Biggest drops · of this item, by value

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Criminal $2.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/210) battle [Sudraba Edzhus](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Sudraba%20Edzhus) $2.30 2.3 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $251 251 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 109.2x 2026-11-07 08:33 UTC

[SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinrave) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Criminal $2.30](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinrave/210) battle [Kabal](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinrave/Kabal) $2.30 2.3 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN $251 251 SKINRAVE\_TOKEN 109.2x 2026-11-04 06:39 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new&window=all)

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle Hidden $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-12 01:03 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Experiment $221](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) battle Hidden $221 340 gems $72.24 111 gems 0.33x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Experiment $221](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) battle Hidden $221 340 gems $72.24 111 gems 0.33x 2026-11-12 00:40 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Experiment $221](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) battle Hidden $221 340 gems $72.24 111 gems 0.33x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Experiment $221](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/experiment) battle Hidden $221 340 gems $72.24 111 gems 0.33x 2026-11-12 00:13 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle Hidden $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-11 23:22 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle Hidden $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-11 23:07 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle Hidden $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-11 23:05 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle Hidden $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-11 23:04 UTC

[Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-fallout-warning-factory-new) [Mine Field $6.42](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mine-field) battle [yami666](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/yami666) $6.42 9.87 gems $34.24 52.67 gems 5.34x 2026-11-11 22:08 UTC

no rarity · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. [All items →](https://gambatracker.com/items)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt