--- title: "XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New): case drops & odds" description: "XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) across CS2 case sites: 1,781 drops on 10 sites in 7 days, worth $2.18 to $11.36. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new rendered: 2026-11-12T08:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Items](https://gambatracker.com/items) / [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New)](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) # XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon, 1 · XM1014 · Watchdog · Factory New. Market name: XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New). Every value is the price the site that dropped it lists it at; there is no external reference price. Drops, 7d · 1,781 · on 10 sites Average value · $5.41 · site prices, drop-weighted Lowest · $2.18 Highest · $11.36 In cases · 6 · with published odds Price spread · 411% · highest vs lowest site average ## Per site · drops and the value each site put on it | Site | Drops | Average | Lowest | Highest | Last seen | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | 776 | $7.67 | $7.67 | $7.67 | 8h | | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | 526 | $2.18 | $2.18 | $2.18 | 8h | | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | 299 | $3.28 | $3.28 | $3.28 | 8h | | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | 160 | $8.68 | $8.68 | $8.68 | 8h | | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | 6 | $7.32 | $7.22 | $7.34 | 3d | | [DatDrop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/datdrop) | 6 | $8.37 | $8.37 | $8.37 | 1d | | [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgofast) | 3 | $11.13 | $10.96 | $11.36 | 2d | | [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | 2 | $8.23 | $8.14 | $8.31 | 6d | | [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) | 2 | $6.22 | $6.22 | $6.22 | 5d | | [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | 1 | $9.49 | $9.49 | $9.49 | 2d | A site's value is what it credits the player with, in its own coin converted at the published rate. Multi-wear drops on Casehug use the odds-weighted mean of the wears' prices. ## Cases that can drop it · with the odds each site publishes | Case | Site | Case price | Odds | Value there | Payout | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Operation Riptide Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) | [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) | $3.71 | 11.4% | $2.18 | 0.6× | | [Daily 9](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/daily9) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $24.96 | 1 in 11 | $9.86 | 0.4× | | [Operation Riptide Case CS2 (CSGO)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/daddyskins/469) | [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | $12.02 | 1 in 11 | $8.68 | 0.7× | | [Riptide](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/riptide) | [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) | $6.49 | 1 in 12 | $7.22 | 1.1× | | [Pepperoni Lore](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/58) | [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | $15.55 | 1 in 17 | $7.67 | 0.5× | | [Knife Snipe](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/knife-snipe) | [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) | $0.34 | 1 in 50 | $3.28 | 9.8× | ## Biggest drops · of this item, by value **No drops yet** No drop of this item seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?item=xm1014-watchdog-factory-new&window=all) [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:44 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:43 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:43 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:43 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:43 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Pepperoni Lore $15.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/58) [Isxaly](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Isxaly) $15.55 15.55 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $7.67 7.67 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.49x 2026-11-12 08:42 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Pepperoni Lore $15.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/58) battle [L0nzer](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/L0nzer) $15.55 15.55 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $7.67 7.67 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.49x 2026-11-12 08:36 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Pepperoni Lore $15.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/58) [HidraMiss♥](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/HidraMiss%E2%99%A5) $15.55 15.55 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $7.67 7.67 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.49x 2026-11-12 08:30 UTC [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Pepperoni Lore $15.55](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hotpizza/58) battle [♔Akio♔](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/%E2%99%94Akio%E2%99%94) $15.55 15.55 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $7.67 7.67 HOTPIZZA\_POINT 0.49x 2026-11-12 08:22 UTC [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) [XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) [Operation Riptide Case $3.71](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) battle [res](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/res) $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-12 08:15 UTC 1 · Drops are counted once per sighting across every feed, notable-only feeds included. 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