---
title: "Case opening at crypto casinos: observed vs advertised RTP"
description: "22 crypto casinos run their own case opening: the RTP each advertises next to the RTP we observed, with a 95% band. The biggest wins too."
url: https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z
---

[Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals) / [Case opening](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening)

# Case opening

A case at a fixed price drops one item from a published odds table; the payout is the item at the site’s own price. 22 of the casinos we read run their own case opening; the table shows the house edge each advertises next to the RTP we observed over 7 days.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening?window=30d) [90d](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening?window=90d) [All](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening?window=all)

Casinos where we've seen this game

[Full RTP analysis →](https://gambatracker.com/rtp/originals/case-opening)

## Casinos running case opening · 7d · 2 advertised figures outside the 95% band

| Casino | Advertised RTP | Observed RTP | Dev. | Bets | Method | Check |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) | — | 88.12% ±2.03 | — | 1.55M | bets | within the band |
| [csgo.net](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgo-net) | — | 103.02% ±1.38 | — | 1.21M | bets | within the band |
| [Casehug](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/casehug) | — | 86.94% ±2.62 | — | 895K | bets | within the band |
| [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) | — | 91.85% ±1.11 | — | 441K | bets | within the band |
| [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/csgorun) | — | 93.14% ±3.18 | — | 440K | bets | within the band |
| [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) | — | 87.81% ±1.85 | — | 371K | bets | within the band |
| [FarmSkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/farmskins) | — | 88.45% ±2.45 | — | 315K | bets | within the band |
| [Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) | — | 88.39% ±1.57 | — | 181K | bets | within the band |
| [Bloodycase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/bloodycase) | — | 60.91% ±2.57 | — | 107K | bets | within the band |
| [CSGOCASES](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocases) | — | 98.50% ±3.99 | — | 93.4K | bets | within the band |
| [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/rain) | — | 80.85% ±14.5 | — | 89.6K | bets | within the band |
| [DROP.SKIN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/dropskin) | — | 76.93% ±1.90 | — | 76.2K | bets | within the band |
| [CSBattle](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/csbattle) | — | 92.57% ±9.88 | — | 69.1K | bets | within the band |
| [SkinRave](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/skinrave) | — | 85.44% ±17.4 | — | 57.3K | bets | within the band |
| [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/clash) | 90.00% | 50.52% ±7.74 | −10.0σ | 25K | bets | advertised 90.00% is outside the 95% band |
| [Cases.gg](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/cases-gg) | 90.00% | 51.19% ±34.8 | −2.2σ | 17.2K | bets | advertised 90.00% is outside the 95% band |
| [DaddySkins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/daddyskins) | — | 79.25% ±6.98 | — | 13.3K | bets | within the band |
| [500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/500-casino) | — | 118.38% ±9.00 | — | 9,438 | bets | within the band |
| [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/hunt) | — | 94.01% ±35.2 | — | 9,139 | bets | within the band |
| [CSGOFAST](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/csgofast) | — | 123.05% ±24.0 | — | 8,859 | bets | within the band |
| [CSGOBig](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgobig) | — | 22.38% ±16.7 | — | 256 bets · below min | bets | sample too small to check |
| [CSGOCasino](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgocasino) | — | 82.95% ±7.73 | — | 94 bets · below min | bets | sample too small to check |

**bets**: RTP from the bets in the sampled public feed. **rounds**: RTP from the game's complete public round history, so no sampling. A flagged row only says the two figures disagree at 95% confidence; it says nothing about the next round. [How we measure →](https://gambatracker.com/methodology)

## When players play · 7d · sampled bets by UTC hour and weekday, since 4 Nov 2026

Mon Mon 00:00–01:00 UTC: 30,357 bets, $436K wagered Mon 01:00–02:00 UTC: 25,172 bets, $233K wagered Mon 02:00–03:00 UTC: 22,039 bets, $170K wagered Mon 03:00–04:00 UTC: 21,647 bets, $237K wagered Mon 04:00–05:00 UTC: 17,217 bets, $227K wagered Mon 05:00–06:00 UTC: 16,893 bets, $171K wagered Mon 06:00–07:00 UTC: 17,268 bets, $197K wagered Mon 07:00–08:00 UTC: 21,199 bets, $201K wagered Mon 08:00–09:00 UTC: 24,885 bets, $323K wagered Mon 09:00–10:00 UTC: 24,917 bets, $204K wagered Mon 10:00–11:00 UTC: 33,208 bets, $341K wagered Mon 11:00–12:00 UTC: 33,206 bets, $485K wagered Mon 12:00–13:00 UTC: 35,069 bets, $460K wagered Mon 13:00–14:00 UTC: 36,542 bets, $280K wagered Mon 14:00–15:00 UTC: 45,492 bets, $413K wagered Mon 15:00–16:00 UTC: 42,440 bets, $351K wagered Mon 16:00–17:00 UTC: 61,080 bets, $667K wagered Mon 17:00–18:00 UTC: 53,626 bets, $446K wagered Mon 18:00–19:00 UTC: 47,853 bets, $426K wagered Mon 19:00–20:00 UTC: 50,098 bets, $504K wagered Mon 20:00–21:00 UTC: 50,715 bets, $568K wagered Mon 21:00–22:00 UTC: 45,686 bets, $584K wagered Mon 22:00–23:00 UTC: 44,510 bets, $673K wagered Mon 23:00–00:00 UTC: 33,054 bets, $450K wagered Tue Tue 00:00–01:00 UTC: 35,970 bets, $340K wagered Tue 01:00–02:00 UTC: 28,155 bets, $230K wagered Tue 02:00–03:00 UTC: 23,899 bets, $247K wagered Tue 03:00–04:00 UTC: 21,048 bets, $202K wagered Tue 04:00–05:00 UTC: 16,921 bets, $211K wagered Tue 05:00–06:00 UTC: 17,556 bets, $204K wagered Tue 06:00–07:00 UTC: 21,274 bets, $193K wagered Tue 07:00–08:00 UTC: 24,765 bets, $308K wagered Tue 08:00–09:00 UTC: 28,997 bets, $334K wagered Tue 09:00–10:00 UTC: 28,019 bets, $404K wagered Tue 10:00–11:00 UTC: 30,424 bets, $399K wagered Tue 11:00–12:00 UTC: 34,873 bets, $351K wagered Tue 12:00–13:00 UTC: 39,043 bets, $668K wagered Tue 13:00–14:00 UTC: 49,875 bets, $489K wagered Tue 14:00–15:00 UTC: 43,353 bets, $420K wagered Tue 15:00–16:00 UTC: 55,308 bets, $838K wagered Tue 16:00–17:00 UTC: 58,022 bets, $617K wagered Tue 17:00–18:00 UTC: 57,862 bets, $514K wagered Tue 18:00–19:00 UTC: 63,046 bets, $592K wagered Tue 19:00–20:00 UTC: 64,170 bets, $677K wagered Tue 20:00–21:00 UTC: 55,739 bets, $887K wagered Tue 21:00–22:00 UTC: 50,996 bets, $471K wagered Tue 22:00–23:00 UTC: 48,352 bets, $460K wagered Tue 23:00–00:00 UTC: 40,889 bets, $386K wagered Wed Wed 00:00–01:00 UTC: 35,006 bets, $276K wagered Wed 01:00–02:00 UTC: 29,326 bets, $344K wagered Wed 02:00–03:00 UTC: 24,518 bets, $433K wagered Wed 03:00–04:00 UTC: 24,740 bets, $329K wagered Wed 04:00–05:00 UTC: 18,439 bets, $368K wagered Wed 05:00–06:00 UTC: 21,539 bets, $185K wagered Wed 06:00–07:00 UTC: 21,307 bets, $246K wagered Wed 07:00–08:00 UTC: 22,414 bets, $197K wagered Wed 08:00–09:00 UTC: 23,777 bets, $189K wagered Wed 09:00–10:00 UTC: 27,822 bets, $223K wagered Wed 10:00–11:00 UTC: 30,574 bets, $226K wagered Wed 11:00–12:00 UTC: 33,382 bets, $382K wagered Wed 12:00–13:00 UTC: 34,679 bets, $578K wagered Wed 13:00–14:00 UTC: 48,696 bets, $366K wagered Wed 14:00–15:00 UTC: 51,776 bets, $405K wagered Wed 15:00–16:00 UTC: 48,567 bets, $475K wagered Wed 16:00–17:00 UTC: 48,673 bets, $348K wagered Wed 17:00–18:00 UTC: 39,097 bets, $520K wagered Wed 18:00–19:00 UTC: 43,837 bets, $473K wagered Wed 19:00–20:00 UTC: 51,431 bets, $524K wagered Wed 20:00–21:00 UTC: 50,302 bets, $522K wagered Wed 21:00–22:00 UTC: 41,412 bets, $367K wagered Wed 22:00–23:00 UTC: 47,951 bets, $737K wagered Wed 23:00–00:00 UTC: 32,676 bets, $490K wagered Thu Thu 00:00–01:00 UTC: 32,871 bets, $295K wagered Thu 01:00–02:00 UTC: 29,147 bets, $311K wagered Thu 02:00–03:00 UTC: 22,020 bets, $263K wagered Thu 03:00–04:00 UTC: 18,348 bets, $226K wagered Thu 04:00–05:00 UTC: 19,505 bets, $172K wagered Thu 05:00–06:00 UTC: 19,176 bets, $177K wagered Thu 06:00–07:00 UTC: 26,562 bets, $196K wagered Thu 07:00–08:00 UTC: 33,769 bets, $237K wagered Thu 08:00–09:00 UTC: 21,461 bets, $410K wagered Thu 09:00–10:00 UTC: 24,900 bets, $222K wagered Thu 10:00–11:00 UTC: 28,678 bets, $337K wagered Thu 11:00–12:00 UTC: 29,983 bets, $491K wagered Thu 12:00–13:00 UTC: 32,478 bets, $362K wagered Thu 13:00–14:00 UTC: 36,618 bets, $588K wagered Thu 14:00–15:00 UTC: 41,521 bets, $567K wagered Thu 15:00–16:00 UTC: 43,582 bets, $1.33M wagered Thu 16:00–17:00 UTC: 43,638 bets, $408K wagered Thu 17:00–18:00 UTC: 48,683 bets, $499K wagered Thu 18:00–19:00 UTC: 43,984 bets, $519K wagered Thu 19:00–20:00 UTC: 49,870 bets, $728K wagered Thu 20:00–21:00 UTC: 57,539 bets, $849K wagered Thu 21:00–22:00 UTC: 62,531 bets, $605K wagered Thu 22:00–23:00 UTC: 51,743 bets, $364K wagered Thu 23:00–00:00 UTC: 48,677 bets, $406K wagered Fri Fri 00:00–01:00 UTC: 34,574 bets, $438K wagered Fri 01:00–02:00 UTC: 32,059 bets, $261K wagered Fri 02:00–03:00 UTC: 25,901 bets, $292K wagered Fri 03:00–04:00 UTC: 27,956 bets, $391K wagered Fri 04:00–05:00 UTC: 20,732 bets, $258K wagered Fri 05:00–06:00 UTC: 20,322 bets, $272K wagered Fri 06:00–07:00 UTC: 19,693 bets, $157K wagered Fri 07:00–08:00 UTC: 24,391 bets, $482K wagered Fri 08:00–09:00 UTC: 23,351 bets, $263K wagered Fri 09:00–10:00 UTC: 35,618 bets, $311K wagered Fri 10:00–11:00 UTC: 36,860 bets, $596K wagered Fri 11:00–12:00 UTC: 33,711 bets, $361K wagered Fri 12:00–13:00 UTC: 36,828 bets, $780K wagered Fri 13:00–14:00 UTC: 40,351 bets, $290K wagered Fri 14:00–15:00 UTC: 42,856 bets, $433K wagered Fri 15:00–16:00 UTC: 40,992 bets, $367K wagered Fri 16:00–17:00 UTC: 51,069 bets, $493K wagered Fri 17:00–18:00 UTC: 55,007 bets, $658K wagered Fri 18:00–19:00 UTC: 52,973 bets, $435K wagered Fri 19:00–20:00 UTC: 58,234 bets, $516K wagered Fri 20:00–21:00 UTC: 62,280 bets, $400K wagered Fri 21:00–22:00 UTC: 67,569 bets, $354K wagered Fri 22:00–23:00 UTC: 56,749 bets, $534K wagered Fri 23:00–00:00 UTC: 48,324 bets, $435K wagered Sat Sat 00:00–01:00 UTC: 46,743 bets, $301K wagered Sat 01:00–02:00 UTC: 30,601 bets, $337K wagered Sat 02:00–03:00 UTC: 25,057 bets, $305K wagered Sat 03:00–04:00 UTC: 24,739 bets, $279K wagered Sat 04:00–05:00 UTC: 21,805 bets, $526K wagered Sat 05:00–06:00 UTC: 19,184 bets, $187K wagered Sat 06:00–07:00 UTC: 17,806 bets, $156K wagered Sat 07:00–08:00 UTC: 22,277 bets, $211K wagered Sat 08:00–09:00 UTC: 23,912 bets, $251K wagered Sat 09:00–10:00 UTC: 26,912 bets, $367K wagered Sat 10:00–11:00 UTC: 34,550 bets, $302K wagered Sat 11:00–12:00 UTC: 35,013 bets, $346K wagered Sat 12:00–13:00 UTC: 34,702 bets, $522K wagered Sat 13:00–14:00 UTC: 41,362 bets, $575K wagered Sat 14:00–15:00 UTC: 43,391 bets, $384K wagered Sat 15:00–16:00 UTC: 48,286 bets, $296K wagered Sat 16:00–17:00 UTC: 49,406 bets, $371K wagered Sat 17:00–18:00 UTC: 50,798 bets, $410K wagered Sat 18:00–19:00 UTC: 51,713 bets, $439K wagered Sat 19:00–20:00 UTC: 49,744 bets, $552K wagered Sat 20:00–21:00 UTC: 50,667 bets, $453K wagered Sat 21:00–22:00 UTC: 44,127 bets, $401K wagered Sat 22:00–23:00 UTC: 45,781 bets, $433K wagered Sat 23:00–00:00 UTC: 38,773 bets, $382K wagered Sun Sun 00:00–01:00 UTC: 37,442 bets, $296K wagered Sun 01:00–02:00 UTC: 33,568 bets, $365K wagered Sun 02:00–03:00 UTC: 23,041 bets, $221K wagered Sun 03:00–04:00 UTC: 20,577 bets, $304K wagered Sun 04:00–05:00 UTC: 16,511 bets, $309K wagered Sun 05:00–06:00 UTC: 19,184 bets, $221K wagered Sun 06:00–07:00 UTC: 19,166 bets, $329K wagered Sun 07:00–08:00 UTC: 20,546 bets, $213K wagered Sun 08:00–09:00 UTC: 23,365 bets, $203K wagered Sun 09:00–10:00 UTC: 29,011 bets, $204K wagered Sun 10:00–11:00 UTC: 29,378 bets, $249K wagered Sun 11:00–12:00 UTC: 31,617 bets, $238K wagered Sun 12:00–13:00 UTC: 34,039 bets, $288K wagered Sun 13:00–14:00 UTC: 37,030 bets, $367K wagered Sun 14:00–15:00 UTC: 42,275 bets, $341K wagered Sun 15:00–16:00 UTC: 53,731 bets, $715K wagered Sun 16:00–17:00 UTC: 50,735 bets, $586K wagered Sun 17:00–18:00 UTC: 47,189 bets, $305K wagered Sun 18:00–19:00 UTC: 46,004 bets, $410K wagered Sun 19:00–20:00 UTC: 49,408 bets, $522K wagered Sun 20:00–21:00 UTC: 46,973 bets, $329K wagered Sun 21:00–22:00 UTC: 42,270 bets, $607K wagered Sun 22:00–23:00 UTC: 41,834 bets, $437K wagered Sun 23:00–00:00 UTC: 35,632 bets, $318K wagered

by hour

Busiest hour: Fri 21:00–22:00 UTC with 67,569 bets; busiest time of day: 20:00–21:00 UTC; busiest day: Fri. Observed on the public feeds we read, a sample: when people were seen playing, not when anyone should. Hours are UTC.

## Biggest wins · on case opening, all casinos, 7d

[RTP page →](https://gambatracker.com/rtp/originals/case-opening)

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [Cases Key-Drop Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [land1n](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/land1n) $5,000 5,000 USD $118K 23.56x 2026-11-09 00:51 UTC

[Key-Drop](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/keydrop) [Cases Key-Drop Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [$100K - CODE: AMPETER](https://gambatracker.com/players/keydrop/%24100K%20-%20CODE%3A%20AMPETER) $5,000 5,000 USD $118K 23.56x 2026-11-05 15:16 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/500-casino) [Cases 500 Casino Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) Hidden $3,829 6,379,748 500CASINO\_BUX $50K 13.06x 2026-11-08 23:43 UTC

[500 Casino](https://gambatracker.com/casinos/500-casino) [Cases 500 Casino Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) Hidden $16.7K 27,889,963 500CASINO\_BUX $35K 2.09x 2026-11-09 17:12 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [Mielody](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Mielody) $3,000 3,000 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 5.72x 2026-11-08 13:11 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [HUAN TAP](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/HUAN%20TAP) $3,000 3,000 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 5.72x 2026-11-08 13:06 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [Elsuperbuenardo86 || TF2EASY.COM](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Elsuperbuenardo86%20%7C%7C%20TF2EASY.COM) $3,000 3,000 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 5.72x 2026-11-08 16:16 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [carrot](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/carrot) $3,000 3,000 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 5.72x 2026-11-09 10:05 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [Kingi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/Kingi) $122 122 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 140.7x 2026-11-07 13:54 UTC

[Hotpizza.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hotpizza) [Cases Hotpizza.gg Originals](https://gambatracker.com/originals/case-opening) [edi.](https://gambatracker.com/players/hotpizza/edi.) $3,000 3,000 HOTPIZZA\_POINT $17.2K 5.72x 2026-11-04 19:33 UTC

18+

**These are past, observed results.** Every spin and round is independent: a hot or cold streak says nothing about what happens next, and no figure on this site improves anyone's odds. Gambling can be harmful.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Gamblers Anonymous](https://www.gamblersanonymous.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt