Case opening RTP by casino

Measured from the sampled all-bets feed. The advertised RTP is each casino's own published figure for its case opening game.

Observed RTP per casino, 7d95% band, point estimate and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandbelow minimum
121.78%±24.928,325 bets
120.52%±8.699,567 bets
102.42%±1.421.19M bets
99.48%±4.1093.2K bets
94.19%±35.389,007 bets
92.79%±3.14438K bets
91.95%±1.10436K bets
91.82%±9.6969.2K bets
88.54%±1.59180K bets
88.49%±2.41315K bets
88.35%±2.061.54M bets
87.14%±1.63371K bets
86.96%±2.62883K bets
84.34%±16.4961.4K bets
79.70%±6.8913.8K bets
79.36%±14.9482.7K bets
76.59%±1.8873.6K bets
62.31%±2.75104K bets
Clash.ggoutside band
51.08%±7.8024.8K bets
Cases.ggoutside band
49.32%±34.6717.3K bets
128 bets · below min
247 bets · below min
5.0%76.3%147.5%

Rolling observed RTPdaily, 7d, per casino

500 CasinoBloodycaseCasehugCases.ggClash.ggCSBattlecsgo.netCSGOBigCSGOCASESCSGOCasinoCSGOFASTCSGORUNDaddySkinsDROP.SKINFarmSkinsGGDROPHellcaseHotpizza.ggHunt.ggKey-DropRain.ggSkinRaveAdvertised 90.00%

Sample7d

CasinoBetsWageredDev.
CSGOFAST8,325$100K—
500 Casino9,567$168K—
csgo.net1.19M$3.91M—
CSGOCASES93.2K$1.27M—
Hunt.gg9,007$8,713—
CSGORUN438K$2.04M—
GGDROP436K$2.62M—
CSBattle69.2K$20K—
Hotpizza.gg180K$15.5M—
FarmSkins315K$4.53M—
Key-Drop1.54M$22.5M—
Hellcase371K$1.03M—
Casehug883K$10.4M—
SkinRave61.4K$88.4K—
DaddySkins13.8K$293K—
Rain.gg82.7K$148K—
DROP.SKIN73.6K$107K—
Bloodycase104K$229K—
Clash.gg24.8K$73.5K−9.8σ
Cases.gg17.3K$18.7K−2.3σ
CSGOCasino128 bets · below min$631—
CSGOBig247 bets · below min$8,873—

Detailevery casino, this window

CasinoGameObserved RTP95% bandAdvertisedDev.BetsMethod
CSGOFASTCase Opening @ CSGOFAST121.78%±24.996.86% – 146.70%——8,325sampled bets
500 CasinoCase Opening @ 500 Casino120.52%±8.69111.83% – 129.21%——9,567sampled bets
csgo.netCase Opening @ csgo.net102.42%±1.42101.00% – 103.84%——1.19Msampled bets
CSGOCASESCase Opening @ CSGOCASES99.48%±4.1095.38% – 103.58%——93.2Ksampled bets
Hunt.ggCase Opening @ Hunt.gg94.19%±35.458.81% – 129.57%——9,007sampled bets
CSGORUNCase Opening @ CSGORUN92.79%±3.1489.64% – 95.93%——438Ksampled bets
GGDROPCase Opening @ GGDROP91.95%±1.1090.85% – 93.05%——436Ksampled bets
CSBattleCase Opening @ CSBattle91.82%±9.6982.13% – 101.52%——69.2Ksampled bets
Hotpizza.ggCase Opening @ Hotpizza.gg88.54%±1.5986.95% – 90.12%——180Ksampled bets
FarmSkinsCase Opening @ FarmSkins88.49%±2.4186.07% – 90.90%——315Ksampled bets
Key-DropCase Opening @ Key-Drop88.35%±2.0686.29% – 90.42%——1.54Msampled bets
HellcaseCase Opening @ Hellcase87.14%±1.6385.51% – 88.77%——371Ksampled bets
CasehugCase Opening @ Casehug86.96%±2.6284.34% – 89.57%——883Ksampled bets
SkinRaveCase Opening @ SkinRave84.34%±16.567.85% – 100.83%——61.4Ksampled bets
DaddySkinsCase Opening @ DaddySkins79.70%±6.8972.81% – 86.58%——13.8Ksampled bets
Rain.ggCase Opening @ Rain.gg79.36%±14.964.42% – 94.29%——82.7Ksampled bets
DROP.SKINCase Opening @ DROP.SKIN76.59%±1.8874.71% – 78.48%——73.6Ksampled bets
BloodycaseCase Opening @ Bloodycase62.31%±2.7559.56% – 65.07%——104Ksampled bets
Clash.ggCase Opening @ Clash.gg51.08%±7.8043.29% – 58.88%90.00%−9.8σ24.8Ksampled bets
Cases.ggCase Opening @ Cases.gg49.32%±34.714.65% – 83.99%90.00%−2.3σ17.3Ksampled bets
CSGOCasinoCase Opening @ CSGOCasino62.27%±20.741.60% – 82.95%——128 bets · below minsampled bets
CSGOBigCase Opening @ CSGOBig22.41%±16.75.71% – 39.10%——247 bets · below minsampled bets
Observed RTP is paid ÷ wagered. The band is a 95% confidence interval from the delta method. "Outside band" is a statistical finding about our sample in this window, not a statement about intent. Advertised figures are captured from each casino's own game info with their date; see the methodology.

Biggest case opening wins7d, by payout

CasesKey-Drop Originalsland1n$5,0005,000 USD$118K23.56x
Cases500 Casino Originals$3,8296,379,748 500CASINO_BUX$50K13.06x
Cases500 Casino Originals$16.7K27,889,963 500CASINO_BUX$35K2.09x
CasesHotpizza.gg OriginalsMielody$3,0003,000 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K5.72x
CasesHotpizza.gg OriginalsHUAN TAP$3,0003,000 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K5.72x
CasesHotpizza.gg OriginalsElsuperbuenardo86 || TF2EASY.COM$3,0003,000 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K5.72x
CasesHotpizza.gg Originalscarrot$3,0003,000 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K5.72x
CasesHotpizza.gg OriginalsKingi$122122 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K140.7x
CasesHotpizza.gg OriginalsL-L$122122 HOTPIZZA_POINT$17.2K140.7x