Rainbow Rush
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$34.94
58,202 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $31.44 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
61.46%
16 openings, odds method
Variance
6.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
42.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 16 openings and 6.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $1,040 1,732,406 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Bayonet | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert | 1 in 125 | $836 1,393,042 BUX | 21.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 50 | $266 443,255 BUX | 16.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| MAC-10 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 40.0% | $35.83 59,692 BUX | 45.6% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.25× |
| MP7 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 57.1% | $7.11 11,845 BUX | 12.9% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 11 Nov, 22:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $34.94 | 90.00% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.9%extraordinary 2.0%Mil Spec Grade 40.0%restricted 57.1%best hit —