Brickwork Battalion
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$18.52
30,861 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $16.67 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.83%
31 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 31 openings and 4.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 31 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Bayonet | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $204 339,780 BUX | 12.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Bowie Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · Covert | 1 in 40 | $97.55 162,518 BUX | 14.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 29 | $80.05 133,363 BUX | 16.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 14 | $41.30 68,805 BUX | 17.3% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted | 10.0% | $11.20 18,659 BUX | 6.7% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| AWP | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified | 10.0% | $10.42 17,359 BUX | 6.2% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 10.0% | $9.51 15,843 BUX | 5.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 28.0% | $6.65 11,078 BUX | 11.2% | 19 | 8.7 | 2.19× |
| Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 28.0% | $5.45 9,079 BUX | 9.2% | 4 | 8.7 | 0.46× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$18.5230,861 BUX$6.6511,078 BUX0.36x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$18.5230,861 BUX$6.6511,078 BUX0.36x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$18.5230,861 BUX$6.6511,078 BUX0.36x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$18.5230,861 BUX$9.5115,843 BUX0.51x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Briefing (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$18.5230,861 BUX$6.6511,078 BUX0.36x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $18.52 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%Covert 2.5%Mil Spec Grade 41.5%restricted 35.0%Restricted 10.0%Classified 10.0%best hit —