Emerald Enclave
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.98
38,280 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $20.68 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
133.58%
28 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 28 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 250 | $309 514,194 BUX | 6.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 1 in 125 | $257 427,995 BUX | 9.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 125 | $251 418,032 BUX | 9.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 25 | $88.75 147,857 BUX | 17.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| ★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald (Well-Worn)gloves · Extraordinary | 1 in 14 | $51.96 86,565 BUX | 17.6% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× |
| Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 11 | $35.50 59,143 BUX | 15.5% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 11.0% | $23.12 38,517 BUX | 12.3% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 15.0% | $8.48 14,127 BUX | 6.2% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.43× |
| StatTrak™ M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted | 20.0% | $5.43 9,046 BUX | 5.3% | 1 | 5.6 | 0.18× |
| Sticker | Green Lethalsticker · High Grade | 32.0% | $0.31 516 BUX | 0.5% | 13 | 9.0 | 1.45× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 11 Nov, 22:23 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $22.98 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.4%restricted 1.6%mil spec 24.0%Extraordinary 7.0%Mythical 15.0%Restricted 20.0%High Grade 32.0%best hit —