Immortal Essence

A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.

Price

$12.00

19,994 BUX

Advertised RTP

90.00%

EV $10.80 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d

77.33%

336 openings, odds method

Variance

10.8×

of price², per opening

Tail share

15.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

75.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

4 openings · below min

7 days

76.67%±35.51328 openings

30 days

77.33%±35.09336 openings

since tracking started

77.33%±35.09336 openings

-0.5%198.8%398.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	4	75.62%±321.6	—	odds
7d	328	76.67%±35.5	−0.7σ	odds
30d	336	77.33%±35.1	−0.7σ	odds
All	336	77.33%±35.1	−0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 336 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Sticker \| ESL Skull (Foil) \| Katowice 2014sticker · Exotic	1 in 333	$437 727,408 BUX	12.1%	1	1.0	0.99×
★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary	1 in 143	$372 620,251 BUX	24.1%	1	2.4	0.43×
Sticker \| Immortals (Foil) \| Krakow 2017sticker · Exotic	1 in 25	$30.28 50,446 BUX	11.2%	11	13.4	0.82×
AUG \| Wings (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	10.0%	$20.28 33,786 BUX	18.8%	34	33.6	1.01×
MP7 \| Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	10.0%	$19.52 32,520 BUX	18.1%	36	33.6	1.07×
Nova \| Rising Skull (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	15.0%	$7.75 12,911 BUX	10.8%	53	50.4	1.05×
R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	20.0%	$1.28 2,132 BUX	2.4%	60	67.2	0.89×
Sticker \| Lord of Skulls (Holo)sticker · Remarkable	40.0%	$0.69 1,149 BUX	2.6%	140	134.4	1.04×

Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from 500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$12.0019,994 BUX$7.7512,911 BUX0.65x13h

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$12.0019,994 BUX$1.282,132 BUX0.11x13h

MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueMeow$12.0019,994 BUX$19.5232,520 BUX1.63x13h

MP7 | Skulls (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue$12.0019,994 BUX$19.5232,520 BUX1.63x1d

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$12.0019,994 BUX$372620,251 BUX31.02x1d

Sticker | Lord of Skulls (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$12.0019,994 BUX$0.691,149 BUX0.06x1d

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedKronerkongen$12.0019,994 BUX$1.282,132 BUX0.11x1d

Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted$12.0019,994 BUX$7.7512,911 BUX0.65x1d

Sticker | Lord of Skulls (Holo)sticker · Remarkable$12.0019,994 BUX$0.691,149 BUX0.06x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC	$12.00	90.00%	8

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedExotic 4.3%extraordinary 0.7%mil spec 10.0%blue 10.0%Restricted 15.0%classified 20.0%Remarkable 40.0%best hit —