Lucky Likes
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$9.68
16,130 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $8.71 from 4 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.42%
110 openings, odds method
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values4 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 110 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 1,000 | $715 1,190,723 BUX | 8.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Souvenir USP-S | Royal Blue (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 11.9% | $27.63 46,031 BUX | 37.7% | 14 | 13.1 | 1.07× |
| Glove Case Keyother · Base Grade | 14.0% | $12.72 21,191 BUX | 20.4% | 9 | 15.4 | 0.58× |
| Glove Casecontainer · Base Grade | 74.0% | $3.96 6,597 BUX | 33.6% | 87 | 81.4 | 1.07× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $9.68 | 90.00% | 4 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.1%Industrial Grade 11.9%Base Grade 88.0%best hit —