Elegant Eminence
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.91
28,170 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $15.22 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.19%
1,276 openings, odds method
Variance
4.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,276 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $2,027 3,377,265 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)knife · Covert | 1 in 500 | $381 635,379 BUX | 5.0% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.18× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 200 | $193 321,404 BUX | 6.3% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× |
| M4A1-S | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert | 1 in 50 | $122 203,701 BUX | 16.1% | 21 | 25.5 | 0.82× |
| Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 40 | $81.83 136,328 BUX | 13.4% | 32 | 31.9 | 1.00× |
| M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified | 10.3% | $30.10 50,146 BUX | 20.4% | 142 | 131.3 | 1.08× |
| Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert | 15.0% | $29.98 49,946 BUX | 29.6% | 183 | 191.4 | 0.96× |
| Sticker | Lotus (Glitter)sticker · remarkable | 69.5% | $1.73 2,882 BUX | 7.9% | 890 | 886.8 | 1.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $16.91 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 4.5%Covert 15.7%Classified 10.3%remarkable 69.5%best hit —