Volt Rush
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$20.29
33,798 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $18.26 from 5 items
Observed RTP, 30d
78.72%
64 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 64 openings and 13.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 64 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $523 871,401 BUX | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sticker | Cloud9 (Holo) | DreamHack 2014sticker · remarkable | 1 in 500 | $381 635,362 BUX | 4.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Sticker | Cloud9 G2A (Holo) | Katowice 2015sticker · Remarkable | 1 in 333 | $264 440,557 BUX | 4.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| AWP | Electric Hive (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified | 19.9% | $35.56 59,242 BUX | 38.8% | 12 | 12.7 | 0.94× |
| Sticker | Cloud9 (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary | 79.5% | $11.45 19,075 BUX | 49.9% | 52 | 50.9 | 1.02× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Cloud9 (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · ExtraordinaryMiglekk$20.2933,798 BUX$11.4519,075 BUX0.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $20.29 | 90.00% | 5 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%remarkable 0.2%Remarkable 0.3%Classified 19.9%Extraordinary 79.5%best hit —