Engine's Echo
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$19.20
31,982 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $17.28 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.57%
20 openings, odds method
Variance
4.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 20 openings and 2.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary | 1 in 80 | $263 438,008 BUX | 19.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert | 1 in 57 | $240 399,306 BUX | 24.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 13 | $38.26 63,741 BUX | 17.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| Souvenir Dual Berettas | Twin Turbo (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · Classified | 12.5% | $19.79 32,970 BUX | 14.3% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| Souvenir USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec | 15.0% | $13.05 21,741 BUX | 11.3% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× |
| P2000 | Space Race (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 17.5% | $5.52 9,196 BUX | 5.6% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.43× |
| Sticker | speed4k (Gold) | Berlin 2019sticker · Extraordinary | 17.5% | $5.47 9,113 BUX | 5.5% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted | 26.5% | $1.44 2,399 BUX | 2.2% | 7 | 5.3 | 1.32× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$19.2031,982 BUX$1.442,399 BUX0.08x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$19.2031,982 BUX$1.442,399 BUX0.08x
Souvenir USP-S | Check Engine (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$19.2031,982 BUX$13.0521,741 BUX0.68x
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restrictedkdeen$19.2031,982 BUX$1.442,399 BUX0.08x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $19.20 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExtraordinary 18.8%covert 1.8%classified 8.0%Classified 12.5%mil spec 15.0%restricted 17.5%Restricted 26.5%best hit —