Eternal Legends
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$13.39
22,300 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $12.05 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
101.46%
184 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 184 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSG 08 | Death Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified | 1 in 500 | $556 926,196 BUX | 9.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert | 1 in 83 | $164 273,823 BUX | 16.4% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted | 1 in 22 | $42.86 71,404 BUX | 16.0% | 12 | 8.3 | 1.45× |
| XM1014 | Ancient Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $35.93 59,859 BUX | 14.9% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× |
| Sticker | Immortals (Foil) | Krakow 2017sticker · Exotic | 1 in 18 | $30.28 50,446 BUX | 13.8% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× |
| StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 17 | $23.72 39,517 BUX | 11.8% | 10 | 11.0 | 0.91× |
| Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $8.08 13,461 BUX | 8.4% | 27 | 23.0 | 1.17× |
| Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary | 13.0% | $7.48 12,461 BUX | 8.1% | 22 | 23.9 | 0.92× |
| Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White)graffiti · Base Grade | 52.1% | $0.32 533 BUX | 1.4% | 92 | 95.9 | 0.96× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$13.3922,300 BUX$7.4812,461 BUX0.56x
Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$13.3922,300 BUX$7.4812,461 BUX0.56x
Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$13.3922,300 BUX$7.4812,461 BUX0.56x
Sealed Graffiti | Dead Now (Shark White)graffiti · Base GradeKronerkongen$13.3922,300 BUX$0.32533 BUX0.02x
Sticker | Eternal Fire (Gold) | Antwerp 2022sticker · Extraordinary$13.3922,300 BUX$7.4812,461 BUX0.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $13.39 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 0.2%Covert 1.2%Restricted 9.5%Exotic 5.5%classified 6.0%Mil Spec Grade 12.5%Extraordinary 13.0%Base Grade 52.1%best hit $556 (41.53x)