Abyssal Echo
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$8.43
14,037 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $7.58 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.20%
340 openings, odds method
Variance
15.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 340 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Karambit | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 1,000 | $1,009 1,680,644 BUX | 13.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified | 1 in 18 | $38.29 63,791 BUX | 27.8% | 24 | 18.7 | 1.28× |
| AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 14 | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 22.2% | 23 | 23.8 | 0.97× |
| StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified | 1 in 11 | $14.50 24,157 BUX | 17.2% | 33 | 30.6 | 1.08× |
| StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted | 10.5% | $8.09 13,477 BUX | 11.2% | 34 | 35.7 | 0.95× |
| StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare | 20.0% | $2.08 3,465 BUX | 5.5% | 70 | 68.0 | 1.03× |
| StatTrak™ Music Kit | Humanity's Last Breath, Voidmusic kit · High Grade | 23.8% | $0.50 833 BUX | 1.6% | 73 | 80.9 | 0.90× |
| SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 24.1% | $0.41 683 BUX | 1.3% | 83 | 81.9 | 1.01× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted$8.4314,037 BUX$8.0913,477 BUX0.96x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$8.4314,037 BUX$14.5024,157 BUX1.72x
StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · RestrictedHALAMADRID$8.4314,037 BUX$8.0913,477 BUX0.96x
StatTrak™ Music Kit | Humanity's Last Breath, Voidmusic kit · High GradeHALAMADRID$8.4314,037 BUX$0.50833 BUX0.06x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $8.43 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%Classified 5.5%mil spec 31.1%classified 9.0%Restricted 10.5%Rare 20.0%High Grade 23.8%best hit —