Green Gem
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$68.13
113,500 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $61.31 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.92%
1,866 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
29.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,866 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 100,000 | $8,308 13,841,727 BUX | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $251 418,032 BUX | 8.2% | 43 | 37.3 | 1.15× |
| Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 1 in 50 | $244 405,954 BUX | 7.9% | 29 | 37.3 | 0.78× |
| ★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · Covert | 1 in 33 | $186 310,425 BUX | 9.1% | 76 | 56.0 | 1.36× |
| P90 | Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $98.81 164,617 BUX | 16.1% | 200 | 186.6 | 1.07× |
| CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 12.0% | $82.92 138,144 BUX | 16.2% | 207 | 223.9 | 0.92× |
| Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert | 33.0% | $37.67 62,758 BUX | 20.3% | 632 | 615.8 | 1.03× |
| Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec | 38.0% | $35.50 59,143 BUX | 22.0% | 679 | 709.1 | 0.96× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade$68.13113,500 BUX$82.92138,144 BUX1.22x
Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · CovertKronerkongen$68.13113,500 BUX$37.6762,758 BUX0.55x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $68.13 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 0.0%restricted 4.0%Covert 36.0%classified 10.0%Mil Spec Grade 12.0%mil spec 38.0%best hit —