Hemorrhage Heirlooms
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$22.76
37,917 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $20.48 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
12.53%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
50.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruby-Infused Wine Gobletother · Covert | 1 in 250 | $350 583,100 BUX | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Radiance Ring (Ruby)other · Classified | 1 in 63 | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Grail (Garnet)other · Restricted | 20.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 43.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Gauntlet (Garnet)other · Restricted | 28.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 32.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 15.0% | $7.50 12,500 BUX | 5.5% | 4 | 0.6 | — |
| Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 35.0% | $2.85 4,750 BUX | 4.9% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.86× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $22.76 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 50.4%Classified 1.6%Restricted 48.0%best hit —