Eternal Bronze
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$6.23
10,379 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $5.61 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.44%
103 openings, odds method
Variance
10.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bars Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 200 | $279 464,800 BUX | 24.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Bronze Selfie Stickother · Restricted | 1 in 18 | $18.00 29,988 BUX | 17.7% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.77× |
| Medallion (Bronze)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 11 | $13.33 22,200 BUX | 21.4% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| Bronze-Bound Bookendother · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 15.6% | 16 | 12.9 | 1.24× |
| Bronze Bloomother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $2.70 4,498 BUX | 7.2% | 9 | 15.4 | 0.58× |
| Budget Bookmark (Bronze)other · Industrial Grade | 27.5% | $1.50 2,499 BUX | 7.4% | 20 | 28.3 | 0.71× |
| Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade | 30.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 5.9% | 40 | 30.9 | 1.29× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $6.23 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 22.0%Restricted 5.5%Industrial Grade 72.5%best hit —