Azure Assault
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$65.75
109,540 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $59.18 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.40%
24 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
50.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 24 openings and 12.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Stone of Sapphire (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 1,000 | $1,637 2,726,875 BUX | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli)other · Restricted | 1 in 111 | $537 894,642 BUX | 8.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Precious Stone of Zircon (Quartz)other · Classified | 1 in 67 | $257 428,208 BUX | 6.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Coffee Mug (Sapphire)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 13 | $130 216,580 BUX | 16.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| Crown (Cobalt)other · Industrial Grade | 40.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 29.7% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× |
| Chalice (Cobalt)other · Consumer Grade | 50.0% | $43.00 71,638 BUX | 36.3% | 12 | 12.0 | 1.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $65.75 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 1.6%Restricted 0.9%Industrial Grade 47.5%Consumer Grade 50.0%best hit $537 (8.17x)