Knight's Honor
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$328.21
546,791 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $295.39 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.89%
16 openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 16 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anvil (Adamantium)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 1,000 | $9,999 16,658,334 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stone of Diamond (Gemstone)other · Special | 1 in 200 | $6,002 10,000,000 BUX | 10.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Lots Of Coins Of Mithril (Metal)other · Special | 1 in 42 | $2,840 4,730,607 BUX | 23.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Musical Flute (Mythril)other · Restricted | 1 in 25 | $599 997,934 BUX | 8.1% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| Astral Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $450 749,700 BUX | 7.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Palladium Palaceother · Covert | 1 in 18 | $445 741,370 BUX | 8.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Bar Of Chromium (Metal)other · Classified | 22.5% | $282 470,120 BUX | 21.5% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| Golden Keyother · Classified | 60.0% | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 17.9% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $328 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 0.1%Special 2.9%Restricted 9.0%Covert 5.5%Classified 82.5%best hit $599 (1.83x)