Dreamweaver's Delights
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$141.17
235,189 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $127.05 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
26.56%
2 openings, odds method
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 2 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rock Of Moonstone (Silica Mineral)other · Covert | 1 in 100 | $3,198 5,328,000 BUX | 25.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Prism (Platinum)other · Classified | 1 in 25 | $599 997,934 BUX | 18.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Lots Of Nodules Of Moonstone (Silica Mineral)other · Covert | 1 in 20 | $336 559,350 BUX | 13.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Coffee Mug (Sapphire)other · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $130 216,580 BUX | 15.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Pearl Prism Pendantother · Industrial Grade | 17.5% | $76.00 126,616 BUX | 10.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Scepter (Sunstone)other · Industrial Grade | 27.5% | $39.00 64,974 BUX | 8.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Pin (Palladium)other · Mil Spec Grade | 30.0% | $36.00 59,976 BUX | 8.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $141 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 6.0%Classified 4.0%Industrial Grade 60.0%Mil Spec Grade 30.0%best hit —