Ice Peak
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$199.69
332,681 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $179.72 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
50.10%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
6.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal From An Alien Planet (Lithium)other · Special | 1 in 100 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 27.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Precious Stone of Sunstone (Quartz)other · Classified | 1 in 25 | $802 1,335,498 BUX | 17.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Shards Of Diamond (Gemstone)other · Special | 1 in 20 | $569 947,500 BUX | 15.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 10.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 13.4% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| Pearl Prism Pendantother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $76.00 126,616 BUX | 6.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| Mermaid's Pearl Earring (Pearl)other · Mil Spec Grade | 15.0% | $72.00 119,952 BUX | 6.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| Rocks Of Opal (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 15.0% | $71.79 119,600 BUX | 6.0% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| Pendant (Pearl)other · Consumer Grade | 35.0% | $35.00 58,310 BUX | 6.8% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $200 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 6.0%Classified 4.0%Covert 10.0%Industrial Grade 15.0%Mil Spec Grade 30.0%Consumer Grade 35.0%best hit —