Giggle Gambit
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$14.57
24,274 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $13.11 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.58%
59 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 59 openings and 12.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 59 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocks Of Agate (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 100 | $187 312,000 BUX | 14.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Obelisk (Obsidian)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 50 | $34.00 56,644 BUX | 5.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| Lots Of Gems Of Citrine (Quartz)other · Classified | 1 in 33 | $30.60 50,985 BUX | 7.0% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| Cipher (Citrine)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 25 | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 9.2% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.69× |
| Heliodor Helmother · Consumer Grade | 1 in 20 | $27.00 44,982 BUX | 10.3% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.02× |
| Rhodium Rodother · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 17 | $26.00 43,316 BUX | 11.9% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.56× |
| Goggles (Galena)other · Industrial Grade | 34.0% | $8.00 13,328 BUX | 20.7% | 20 | 20.1 | 1.00× |
| Wooden Toy Carother · Industrial Grade | 45.0% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 21.4% | 27 | 26.6 | 1.02× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $14.57 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 11.0%Industrial Grade 81.0%Classified 3.0%Consumer Grade 5.0%best hit —