Exploration Extinction
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$417.44
695,459 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $375.70 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
15.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerald Enigmaother · Special | 1 in 10,000 | $125K 208,250,000 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Tourmaline Tabletother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 2,000 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Zirconium Zenith Zigguratother · Special | 1 in 227 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stone of Emerald (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 100 | $3,495 5,823,125 BUX | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium)other · Special | 1 in 67 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 57 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Halo of Hyperion (Heliodor)other · Special | 1 in 19 | $1,000 1,666,000 BUX | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Bar Of Chromium (Metal)other · Classified | 15.0% | $335 557,480 BUX | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Pieces Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 25.0% | $180 300,000 BUX | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Rocks Of Aventurine (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 50.0% | $71.07 118,400 BUX | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $417 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 7.2%Exceedingly Rare 1.8%Covert 1.0%Classified 40.0%Mil Spec Grade 50.0%