Voltage Vendetta
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$74.05
123,362 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $66.64 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.43%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
37.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 4.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prism (Platinum)other · Classified | 1 in 100 | $599 997,934 BUX | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 1 in 25 | $240 399,840 BUX | 14.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Lots Of Nodules Of Moonstone (Silica Mineral)other · Covert | 1 in 20 | $151 251,550 BUX | 11.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 13 | $135 224,910 BUX | 15.2% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| Block Of Iron (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 20.0% | $49.14 81,864 BUX | 14.7% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.67× |
| Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium)other · Classified | 20.0% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 13.2% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| Arcanum (Agate)other · Restricted | 20.0% | $40.00 66,640 BUX | 12.0% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× |
| Cipher (Citrine)other · Mil Spec Grade | 22.5% | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 10.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $74.05 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 21.0%Covert 9.0%Mil Spec Grade 50.0%Restricted 20.0%best hit —