Mortal Coil
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$362.96
604,696 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $326.67 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
33.80%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
36.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effigy (Emerald)other · Special | 1 in 10,000 | $200K 333,200,000 BUX | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Pyramid of Power (Palladium)other · Special | 1 in 204 | $8,995 14,985,670 BUX | 13.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Zirconium Zenith Zigguratother · Special | 1 in 67 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 23.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 13 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Titan Totem (Titanium)other · Special | 12.0% | $300 499,800 BUX | 11.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 13.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 9.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 15.0% | $165 274,890 BUX | 7.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| Piece Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 50.0% | $55.28 92,100 BUX | 8.5% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.25× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $363 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 14.0%Exceedingly Rare 8.0%Covert 13.0%Restricted 15.0%Classified 50.0%best hit —