Warlords Relics
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$298.21
496,821 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $268.39 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.37%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
56.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bars Of Mithril (Metal)other · Special | 1 in 1,000 | $70.4K 117,286,400 BUX | 26.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Miniature Mythril Shield (Mythril)other · Classified | 1 in 15 | $999 1,664,334 BUX | 24.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| Ruby-Encrusted Daggerother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 14 | $770 1,282,820 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Chef's knife (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 1 in 11 | $549 914,634 BUX | 18.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Sunburst Scepter (Sapphire)other · Mil Spec Grade | 11.5% | $135 224,910 BUX | 5.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Heliodor Helmother · Consumer Grade | 14.0% | $27.00 44,982 BUX | 1.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| 1oz Silver bullet (Silver)other · Mil Spec Grade | 14.0% | $25.00 41,650 BUX | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Gauntlet (Garnet)other · Restricted | 14.0% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 1.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Soldier Toy (Lead)other · Mil Spec Grade | 23.6% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $298 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.1%Classified 6.5%Exceedingly Rare 7.2%Restricted 23.0%Mil Spec Grade 49.1%Consumer Grade 14.0%best hit $999 (3.35x)