Price
$202.11
336,720 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $181.90 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
62.13%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
33.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 22
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tourmaline Tabletother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 1,000 | $35K 58,310,000 BUX | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Amulet of Atlantis (Amethyst)other · Special | 1 in 111 | $3,884 6,470,694 BUX | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 67 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 7.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Coin (Gold)other · Covert | 1 in 50 | $649 1,081,234 BUX | 7.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli)other · Restricted | 1 in 40 | $537 894,642 BUX | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Astral Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Restricted | 1 in 33 | $450 749,700 BUX | 7.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Lunar Locket (Lapis Lazuli)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 29 | $375 624,750 BUX | 7.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 1 in 25 | $230 383,180 BUX | 5.1% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| Coin From The Lost City (Mythril)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 22 | $199 331,534 BUX | 4.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 1 in 13 | $165 274,890 BUX | 7.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Gems of Amethyst (Gemstone)other · Covert | 70.0% | $21.16 35,250 BUX | 8.1% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $202 | 90.00% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 1.6%Special 0.9%Covert 72.0%Restricted 17.5%Mil Spec Grade 8.0%best hit —