Brick by Brick
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$57.05
95,042 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $51.34 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.66%
12 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 12 openings and 1.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prism (Platinum)other · Classified | 1 in 100 | $599 997,934 BUX | 11.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Titan Totem (Titanium)other · Special | 1 in 50 | $300 499,800 BUX | 11.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 1 in 33 | $240 399,840 BUX | 14.0% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| Cube (Tungsten)other · Restricted | 1 in 25 | $199 331,534 BUX | 15.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · Restricted | 1 in 13 | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 12.9% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| Rocks Of Agate (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 12.5% | $79.23 132,000 BUX | 19.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| Small Logs Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 70.0% | $10.98 18,300 BUX | 15.0% | 8 | 8.4 | 0.95× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · RestrictedPaper Bag$57.0595,042 BUX$88.00146,608 BUX1.54x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $57.05 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedClassified 71.0%Special 2.0%Covert 3.0%Restricted 11.5%Mil Spec Grade 12.5%best hit —