Shrouded in Green
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.31
17,184 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $9.28 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.17%
173 openings, odds method
Variance
12.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 173 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 10,000 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Vintage Uranium Glass Vase (Uranium)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 50 | $80.00 133,280 BUX | 17.1% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.87× |
| Dice (Tungsten)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 33 | $77.00 128,282 BUX | 24.9% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.54× |
| Zen Garden (Zirconium)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 14 | $28.00 46,648 BUX | 21.1% | 16 | 12.1 | 1.32× |
| Radiant Rhodium Ring (Rhodium)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 13 | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 20.7% | 14 | 13.8 | 1.01× |
| Silver Sunflowerother · Consumer Grade | 20.0% | $3.25 5,415 BUX | 7.0% | 28 | 34.6 | 0.81× |
| Pebble (Peridot)other · Consumer Grade | 30.0% | $0.90 1,499 BUX | 2.9% | 54 | 51.9 | 1.04× |
| Lots Of Parts of Granite (Rock)other · Consumer Grade | 30.0% | $0.87 1,452 BUX | 2.8% | 50 | 51.9 | 0.96× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $10.31 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 0.0%Consumer Grade 97.0%Industrial Grade 3.0%best hit —