Eggcellent Enigma
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$15.07
25,101 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $13.56 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
105.23%
33 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 33 openings and 5.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 33 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antique Uranium Marble Set (Uranium)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 100 | $140 233,240 BUX | 10.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| Mermaid's Pearl Earring (Pearl)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 25 | $72.00 119,952 BUX | 21.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| Amulet (Aquamarine)other · Restricted | 1 in 20 | $42.00 69,972 BUX | 15.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| Scepter (Sunstone)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 17 | $39.00 64,974 BUX | 17.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.52× |
| Pendant (Pearl)other · Consumer Grade | 1 in 15 | $35.00 58,310 BUX | 16.8% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| Opal Orbother · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $8.00 13,328 BUX | 8.8% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× |
| Heirloom (Hematite)other · Industrial Grade | 17.5% | $6.00 9,996 BUX | 7.7% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× |
| Moonstone Marbleother · Consumer Grade | 45.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 2.3% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $15.07 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedIndustrial Grade 24.5%Mil Spec Grade 4.0%Restricted 5.0%Consumer Grade 66.5%best hit —