Bronze Bustle
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$3.79
6,310 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $3.41 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
113.86%
256 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 256 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bars Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 1,000 | $202 336,800 BUX | 5.9% | 80 | 0.3 | — |
| Bronze Selfie Stickother · Restricted | 1 in 22 | $18.00 29,988 BUX | 23.8% | 12 | 11.5 | 1.04× |
| Lots Of Coins Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 20 | $14.18 23,624 BUX | 20.8% | 0 | 12.8 | 0.00× |
| Bronze-Bound Bookendother · Mil Spec Grade | 10.0% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 20.5% | 25 | 25.6 | 0.98× |
| Bronze Bloomother · Industrial Grade | 15.4% | $2.70 4,498 BUX | 12.2% | 50 | 39.4 | 1.27× |
| Budget Bookmark (Bronze)other · Industrial Grade | 17.5% | $1.50 2,499 BUX | 7.7% | 42 | 44.8 | 0.94× |
| Bronze Ornamentother · Industrial Grade | 20.0% | $1.10 1,833 BUX | 6.5% | 47 | 51.2 | 0.92× |
| Crumbs Of Bronze (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 27.5% | $0.32 540 BUX | 2.6% | 0 | 70.4 | 0.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $3.79 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 42.6%Restricted 4.5%Industrial Grade 52.9%best hit $202 (53.38x)