The Classic
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$81.62
135,974 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $73.46 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.78%
42 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
27.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 42 openings and 11.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gauntlet of Galaxies (Garnet)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 1,000 | $1,250 2,082,500 BUX | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stone of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 500 | $1,132 1,885,250 BUX | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Ruby-Infused Wine Gobletother · Covert | 1 in 37 | $350 583,100 BUX | 12.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| Oracle Orb (Obsidian)other · Restricted | 1 in 25 | $165 274,890 BUX | 9.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| Rock Of Jasper (Silica Mineral)other · Classified | 1 in 17 | $110 183,040 BUX | 9.0% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| Radiance Ring (Ruby)other · Classified | 1 in 14 | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 8.6% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.70× |
| A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · Restricted | 1 in 13 | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 9.0% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.27× |
| Wire Sculpture (Copper)other · Covert | 10.0% | $69.00 114,954 BUX | 9.4% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| Grail (Garnet)other · Restricted | 62.5% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 37.4% | 25 | 26.3 | 0.95× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $81.62 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 0.1%Covert 12.9%Restricted 74.0%Classified 13.0%best hit —