Price
$328.56
547,378 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $295.70 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
10.88%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
14.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 50
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramid of Power (Palladium)other · Special | 1 in 50 | $8,995 14,985,670 BUX | 60.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Prism (Adamantium)other · Covert | 1 in 15 | $720 1,200,000 BUX | 15.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Labyrinth (Lapis Lazuli)other · Restricted | 1 in 13 | $537 894,642 BUX | 13.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Radiance Ring (Ruby)other · Classified | 12.0% | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 3.7% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Golden Keyother · Classified | 12.0% | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 3.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| Throne (Topaz)other · Restricted | 13.5% | $50.00 83,300 BUX | 2.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| Heart (Hematite)other · Consumer Grade | 19.0% | $2.50 4,165 BUX | 0.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| Almost Amber Anklet (Amber)other · Consumer Grade | 27.5% | $0.45 750 BUX | 0.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $329 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 2.0%Covert 6.5%Restricted 21.0%Classified 24.0%Consumer Grade 46.5%best hit —