Concrete Jungle
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$0.39
653 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.08%
EV $0.35 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
74.35%
1,527 openings, odds method
Variance
16.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
100.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,527 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert | 1 in 10,000 | $122 202,502 BUX | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 526 | $13.58 22,624 BUX | 7.3% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 400 | $11.97 19,942 BUX | 8.5% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| Galil AR | Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade | 1 in 182 | $8.52 14,194 BUX | 13.3% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.71× |
| MAC-10 | Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · Consumer Grade | 1 in 100 | $2.23 3,715 BUX | 6.3% | 12 | 15.3 | 0.79× |
| Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff | 1 in 50 | $1.06 1,765 BUX | 6.0% | 27 | 30.5 | 0.88× |
| Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff | 1 in 40 | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 5.0% | 37 | 38.2 | 0.97× |
| UMP-45 | Riot (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 93.5% | $0.19 316 BUX | 50.2% | 1,442 | 1427.7 | 1.01× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.08%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.39 | 90.08% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%industrial 0.2%Industrial Grade 0.8%Consumer Grade 1.0%#8847ff 2.0%#4b69ff 2.5%Mil Spec Grade 93.5%best hit —