Bronze Age
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.05
1,742 BUX
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $0.94 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
97.77%
2,886 openings, odds method
Variance
14.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
93.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,886 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCAR-20 | Brass (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 1 in 2,000 | $80.97 134,896 BUX | 4.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| Sawed-Off | Copper (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec | 1 in 1,000 | $65.56 109,222 BUX | 7.0% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 667 | $62.37 103,908 BUX | 9.9% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.39× |
| Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted | 1 in 133 | $15.36 25,589 BUX | 12.2% | 22 | 21.6 | 1.02× |
| PP-Bizon | Antique (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted | 1 in 40 | $5.56 9,262 BUX | 14.8% | 73 | 72.2 | 1.01× |
| Patch | Copper Lambdapatch · Exotic | 1 in 33 | $4.72 7,863 BUX | 15.0% | 84 | 86.6 | 0.97× |
| Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade | 93.5% | $0.37 616 BUX | 36.7% | 2,695 | 2697.0 | 1.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1.051,742 BUX$62.37103,908 BUX59.65x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1.051,742 BUX$62.37103,908 BUX59.65x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1.051,742 BUX$62.37103,908 BUX59.65x
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$1.051,742 BUX$62.37103,908 BUX59.65x
Latest dropsnewest first
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Gradesad_man17$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Gradeuser-19d0a7$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Gradesad_man17$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Gradeuser-19d0a7$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Gradesad_man17$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec GradeMulli$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec GradeLe Shake$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec GradeLidthyggepågeden$1.051,742 BUX$0.37616 BUX0.35x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.05 | 89.99% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedMil Spec Grade 93.5%mil spec 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%Restricted 0.8%restricted 2.5%Exotic 3.0%best hit $80.97 (77.44x)