Romantic Riddles
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$43.44
72,370 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $39.10 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
16.98%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gems of Diamond (Gemstone)other · Special | 1 in 200 | $1,155 1,925,000 BUX | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Lots Of Gems Of Amethyst (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 50 | $416 693,250 BUX | 21.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Precious Stone of Sapphire (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 40 | $388 645,625 BUX | 24.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Tiny tiara (Diamond)other · Classified | 1 in 20 | $149 248,234 BUX | 19.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Amulet (Alexandrite)other · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $22.00 36,652 BUX | 8.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| Shards Of Emerald (Gemstone)other · Covert | 17.5% | $17.83 29,700 BUX | 8.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| Bracelet (Brass)other · Industrial Grade | 57.5% | $2.50 4,165 BUX | 3.7% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $43.44 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.5%Covert 19.5%Classified 7.5%Consumer Grade 15.0%Industrial Grade 57.5%best hit —