Crowned Glory
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$10.39
17,314 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $9.35 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
69.04%
222 openings, odds method
Variance
6.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 222 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $342 569,222 BUX | 18.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $53.67 89,414 BUX | 14.3% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× |
| USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial | 1 in 40 | $44.71 74,486 BUX | 11.9% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.08× |
| Sir Bloody Darryl Royale | The Professionalsagent · Ancient | 1 in 15 | $21.62 36,018 BUX | 15.0% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× |
| M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert | 1 in 13 | $17.20 28,655 BUX | 14.7% | 14 | 17.8 | 0.79× |
| Sticker | Team Kinguin (Foil) | Cologne 2015sticker · Exotic | 10.5% | $14.89 24,806 BUX | 16.7% | 31 | 23.3 | 1.33× |
| Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet | 17.5% | $2.58 4,298 BUX | 4.8% | 29 | 38.8 | 0.75× |
| StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet | 26.0% | $0.80 1,332 BUX | 2.2% | 61 | 57.7 | 1.06× |
| Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 26.0% | $0.70 1,166 BUX | 1.9% | 66 | 57.7 | 1.14× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet$10.3917,314 BUX$0.801,332 BUX0.08x
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet$10.3917,314 BUX$0.801,332 BUX0.08x
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet$10.3917,314 BUX$0.801,332 BUX0.08x
Sticker | Team Kinguin (Foil) | Cologne 2015sticker · Exoticuser-62df08$10.3917,314 BUX$14.8924,806 BUX1.43x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $10.39 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 3.0%industrial 2.5%Ancient 6.5%covert 8.0%Exotic 10.5%violet 43.5%restricted 26.0%best hit —