Price
$91.70
152,770 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $82.53 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
57.08%
18 openings, odds method
Variance
3.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
40.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 18 openings and 7.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Stone of Emerald (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 400 | $2,149 3,580,500 BUX | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Rock Of Jade (Silica Mineral)other · Covert | 1 in 286 | $1,985 3,307,800 BUX | 8.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 71 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 14.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Antique Uranium Marble Set (Uranium)other · Industrial Grade | 1 in 13 | $140 233,240 BUX | 13.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| Vintage Uranium Glass Vase (Uranium)other · Consumer Grade | 30.0% | $80.00 133,280 BUX | 29.1% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| Rock Of Aventurine (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec Grade | 60.0% | $38.51 64,160 BUX | 28.0% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Rock Of Aventurine (Silica Mineral)other · Mil Spec GradePaper Bag$91.70152,770 BUX$38.5164,160 BUX0.42x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $91.70 | 90.00% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 0.6%Exceedingly Rare 1.4%Industrial Grade 8.0%Consumer Grade 30.0%Mil Spec Grade 60.0%best hit —