Exhausted Enigma
A case on 500 Casino (featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$635.17
1,058,187 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $571.65 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
352.06%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
5.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anvil (Adamantium)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 200 | $9,999 16,658,334 BUX | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Lots Of Precious Stones Of Onyx (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 100 | $7,347 12,240,000 BUX | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Rocks Of Obsidian (Silica Mineral)other · Classified | 1 in 67 | $5,587 9,307,350 BUX | 14.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| Precious Stones of Onyx (Gemstone)other · Classified | 1 in 50 | $4,896 8,155,920 BUX | 17.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Rod of Ragnarok (Rhodium)other · Special | 1 in 20 | $3,300 5,497,800 BUX | 28.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Limited Edition Coin (Adamantium)other · Restricted | 37.5% | $230 383,180 BUX | 15.1% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| Clarity Cube (Cobalt)other · Industrial Grade | 52.5% | $29.00 48,314 BUX | 2.7% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $635 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedExceedingly Rare 0.5%Classified 4.5%Special 5.0%Restricted 37.5%Industrial Grade 52.5%best hit $5,587 (8.80x)