Sparkle and Shine
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2,027.98
3,378,620 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $1,825.18 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
21.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 48
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Stones of Diamond (Gemstone)other · Special | 1 in 1,000 | $149K 248,250,000 BUX | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Couple Of Pearls (Organic Gemstone)other · Special | 1 in 133 | $69.2K 115,287,200 BUX | 28.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Suspect's Gold Watch (Gold)other · Special | 1 in 80 | $50K 83,300,000 BUX | 34.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Crystal From An Alien Planet (Lithium)other · Special | 1 in 20 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Golden Sunglassesother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 12 | $2,100 3,498,600 BUX | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| 500 Gold Ring (Gold)other · Covert | 12.0% | $500 833,000 BUX | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Tiny tiara (Diamond)other · Classified | 17.5% | $149 248,234 BUX | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| A Geologist's Rejected Diamond (Diamond)other · Restricted | 19.9% | $88.00 146,608 BUX | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Crumbs Of Silver (Metal)other · Mil Spec Grade | 35.0% | $0.25 420 BUX | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $2,028 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 7.1%Exceedingly Rare 8.5%Covert 12.0%Classified 17.5%Restricted 19.9%Mil Spec Grade 35.0%