Echoes of the Wild
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$695.32
1,158,401 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $625.79 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
208.39%
4 openings, odds method
Variance
19.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 4 openings and 0.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tablet of Titans (Tourmaline)other · Special | 1 in 1,000 | $75K 124,950,000 BUX | 12.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Tiara (Tourmaline)other · Covert | 1 in 250 | $25K 41,650,000 BUX | 16.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Precious Stones of Sunstone (Quartz)other · Classified | 1 in 22 | $5,682 9,466,215 BUX | 40.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| Throne of Thor (Topaz)other · Special | 1 in 13 | $1,500 2,499,000 BUX | 18.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Musical Flute (Mythril)other · Restricted | 10.0% | $599 997,934 BUX | 9.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Ninja Star Ornament (Titanium)other · Classified | 17.5% | $44.00 73,304 BUX | 1.2% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Rhodium Rodother · Mil Spec Grade | 29.8% | $26.00 43,316 BUX | 1.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| Gauntlet (Garnet)other · Restricted | 30.1% | $24.00 39,984 BUX | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Precious Stones of Sunstone (Quartz)other · ClassifiedPaper Bag$6951,158,401 BUX$5,6829,466,215 BUX8.17x
Latest dropsnewest first
Precious Stones of Sunstone (Quartz)other · ClassifiedPaper Bag$6951,158,401 BUX$5,6829,466,215 BUX8.17x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $695 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 7.6%Covert 0.4%Classified 22.0%Restricted 40.1%Mil Spec Grade 29.8%best hit $5,682 (8.17x)