Deadly Delights
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$381.54
635,653 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $343.39 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
115.52%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Rocks Of Jade (Silica Mineral)other · Covert | 1 in 1,000 | $16K 26,640,000 BUX | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Crystal From An Alien Planet (Lithium)other · Special | 1 in 50 | $5,000 8,330,000 BUX | 29.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 29 | $3,200 5,331,200 BUX | 32.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| Jewel of Jotunheim (Jade)other · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 14 | $850 1,416,100 BUX | 17.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| Mystical Monolith (Moonstone)other · Covert | 10.0% | $240 399,840 BUX | 7.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| Antique Uranium Marble Set (Uranium)other · Industrial Grade | 12.5% | $140 233,240 BUX | 5.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| Vintage Uranium Glass Vase (Uranium)other · Consumer Grade | 15.0% | $80.00 133,280 BUX | 3.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× |
| Pendant (Peridot)other · Mil Spec Grade | 50.0% | $6.50 10,829 BUX | 0.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium)other · Exceedingly Rare$382635,653 BUX$3,2005,331,200 BUX8.39x
Latest dropsnewest first
Secret Agent's Uranium Coin (Uranium)other · Exceedingly Rare$382635,653 BUX$3,2005,331,200 BUX8.39x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $382 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 10.1%Special 2.0%Exceedingly Rare 10.4%Industrial Grade 12.5%Consumer Grade 15.0%Mil Spec Grade 50.0%best hit $3,200 (8.39x)