Land and Legacy
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$388.76
647,674 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $349.88 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
18.92%
8 openings, odds method
Variance
158.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 63
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 8 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treasure Map (Emerald)other · Special | 1 in 1,000 | $150K 249,900,000 BUX | 42.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Totem (Tourmaline)other · Restricted | 1 in 67 | $10K 16,660,000 BUX | 42.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Palladium Palaceother · Covert | 1 in 13 | $445 741,370 BUX | 9.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| Iridium Idolother · Industrial Grade | 15.0% | $46.00 76,636 BUX | 2.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| Wooden ladderother · Mil Spec Grade | 16.0% | $30.00 49,980 BUX | 1.4% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.13× |
| Small Logs Of Bamboo (Wood)other · Classified | 22.5% | $10.98 18,300 BUX | 0.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| Wooden Toy Carother · Industrial Grade | 37.4% | $6.25 10,413 BUX | 0.7% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $389 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedSpecial 0.1%Restricted 1.5%Covert 7.5%Industrial Grade 52.4%Mil Spec Grade 16.0%Classified 22.5%best hit —