Scarlet Secrets
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$174.43
290,597 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $156.99 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
11.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lots Of Precious Stones Of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 1,000 | $17.6K 29,375,000 BUX | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Ruby-Encrusted Daggerother · Exceedingly Rare | 1 in 15 | $770 1,282,820 BUX | 31.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Lots Of Gems Of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 1 in 13 | $460 766,000 BUX | 23.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Ruby-Infused Wine Gobletother · Covert | 10.0% | $350 583,100 BUX | 22.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Radiance Ring (Ruby)other · Classified | 13.5% | $90.00 149,940 BUX | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Shards Of Ruby (Gemstone)other · Covert | 17.4% | $14.26 23,750 BUX | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Runestone (Ruby)other · Industrial Grade | 22.0% | $7.00 11,662 BUX | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Relic (Ruby)other · Industrial Grade | 22.5% | $6.00 9,996 BUX | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $174 | 90.00% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedCovert 35.5%Exceedingly Rare 6.5%Classified 13.5%Industrial Grade 44.5%